中国对哈萨克斯坦直接投资的领域选择研究

发布时间：2018-01-15 07:39

本文关键词：中国对哈萨克斯坦直接投资的领域选择研究　出处：《新疆师范大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着经济全球化进程的加快，全球产业结构重新调整、国际分工不断深化和拓展，全球经济格局出现了新的特点。尤其是从全球金融危机发生后，现代经济增长战略和传统的经济增长模式面临着新的挑战，即通过对外直接投资积极参与国际市场竞争，抢占国际市场变成了目前经济增长的重要趋势。目前，中国为了能在激烈的国际市场竞争环境中生存和进一步发展，直接投资领域的合理选择意义重大。哈萨克斯坦独立之后，我国与哈萨克斯坦的经济合作迅速发展，但“俄白哈关税同盟”的建立，对我国与哈萨克斯坦传统的贸易伙伴关系造成了一定的不利影响。此外，中国对外出口迅速增长等因素促进了外汇储备增长，导致资本和金融项目呈现“双顺差”等现象。但是，人民币的不断升值，使得人民币对美元的汇率不断下降，导致外汇储备缩水，出口受阻，造成了我国很多出口企业的破产。因此，中国必须对外直接投资，减轻各种经济压力,并且在国际市场上进一步发展。哈萨克斯坦作为中国拥有丰富自然资源的邻国，因此，通过加大对哈萨克斯坦直接投资的力度，进一步开拓哈萨克斯坦市场变成了目前深化中国与哈萨克斯坦经济合作关系的新趋势。为了保障中国与哈萨克斯坦长期、有效合作，我国应该选择合理的领域，对哈萨克斯坦进行直接投资。本文在分析哈萨克斯坦主要产业现状的基础上，用DEA方法对历年流入哈萨克斯坦农业、采掘业、房地产业等11个领域的外商直接投资进行投资产出效率评价，进而用VAR脉冲响应模型对哈萨克斯坦各领域利用外商直接投资的进出口贸易创造效应进行实证分析。然后，在对哈萨克斯坦各领域发展现状分析、实证分析结果的基础上，，结合我国和国际产业结构优化的新要求，借签美国和日本等发达国家历年对外直接投资经验，对中国在哈萨克斯坦直接投资的领域选择提出了开拓市场导向、资源寻求导向和升级产业结构导向等三个导向。最后，为了保障我国与哈萨克斯坦长期、有效合作，提高社会和经济效益，为改进中国对哈萨克斯坦直接投资领域提出了一些建议。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the process of economic globalization, the readjustment of the global industrial structure, the deepening and expanding of the international division of labor, new characteristics have emerged in the global economic pattern, especially since the global financial crisis. Modern economic growth strategy and traditional economic growth model are facing new challenges, that is, through foreign direct investment to actively participate in international market competition, seize the international market has become an important trend of economic growth. In order to survive and further develop in the fierce international market competition environment, it is of great significance for China to make a reasonable choice in the field of direct investment. After the independence of Kazakhstan, the economic cooperation between China and Kazakhstan developed rapidly, but the "Russia-Belarus Customs Union" was established. In addition, the rapid growth of China's foreign exports and other factors have contributed to the growth of foreign exchange reserves. However, the appreciation of RMB makes the exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar decline, resulting in the decrease of foreign exchange reserves and the hindrance of exports. As a result of the bankruptcy of many export enterprises in China, China must invest directly abroad, relieve all kinds of economic pressure, and further develop in the international market. Kazakhstan, as a neighbour of China with rich natural resources, has therefore increased its direct investment in Kazakhstan. Further development of the Kazakhstan market has become a new trend of deepening the economic cooperation between China and Kazakhstan. In order to ensure long-term and effective cooperation between China and Kazakhstan, China should choose a reasonable field. Direct investment in Kazakhstan. Based on the analysis of the present situation of the main industries in Kazakhstan, this paper uses DEA method to analyze the inflow of agriculture and extractive industries into Kazakhstan over the years. Foreign direct investment in 11 fields, such as real estate industry, evaluates the efficiency of investment output. Then the VAR impulse response model is used to analyze the impact of foreign direct investment on the creation of import and export trade in various fields of Kazakhstan. Then, the development of Kazakhstan in various fields is analyzed. Based on the results of empirical analysis, combined with the new requirements of China and international industrial structure optimization, the United States and Japan and other developed countries in the past years of foreign direct investment experience. In order to ensure the long-term development of China and Kazakhstan, this paper puts forward three orientations for China's choice of direct investment in Kazakhstan: market development, resource seeking and upgrading industrial structure. Some suggestions for improving China's direct investment in Kazakhstan are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：新疆师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6;F136.1

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