产业结构变迁与住宅价格关系实证研究——来自中国内地的经验分析

发布时间：2018-01-18 09:26

本文关键词：产业结构变迁与住宅价格关系实证研究——来自中国内地的经验分析　出处：《财经研究》2014年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章基于住宅价格变动中产业结构变迁影响及其内在机理的视角,通过构建产业结构合理化与高级化的理论测度,利用2002-2011年中国内地30个省区的面板数据,实证检验了产业结构变迁对住宅价格变动的影响。研究结果表明:产业结构合理化对住宅价格有显著正向影响,产业结构高级化也显著推动住宅价格上涨;在样本时期内,产业结构变迁对全国住宅价格上涨的贡献率为13.45%;产业结构合理化、高级化对住宅价格的影响呈现明显的区域差异,两者对东部、中部、西部住宅价格的影响效应依次递减;银行信贷、土地价格推高住宅价格,利率调整对房价的调控作用基本失效,人口规模、人均收入水平对住宅价格的影响因地区与时间而异。
[Abstract]:Based on the perspective of the influence of the change of industrial structure and its internal mechanism in the change of housing price, this paper constructs the theoretical measure of rationalization and upgrading of industrial structure. Using panel data from 30 provinces and regions in the mainland of China from 2002 to 2011. The results show that the rationalization of industrial structure has a significant positive impact on housing prices, and the higher industrial structure also significantly promotes the rise of housing prices. In the sample period, the contribution rate of industrial structure change to the national housing price rise is 13.45%; The effects of rationalization of industrial structure and higher level on housing prices show obvious regional differences, and their effects on the eastern, central and western housing prices are decreasing in turn; Bank credit, land prices push up housing prices, interest rate adjustment on housing prices is basically ineffective, the impact of population size, per capita income on housing prices varies from region to region and from time to time.
【作者单位】：湖南科技大学管理学院;上海财经大学国际工商管理学院;
【基金】：上海财经大学研究生创新基金(CXJJ-2012-344)资助
【分类号】：F121.3;F293.3
【正文快照】： 一、引言住宅价格是经济系统中至关重要的价格信号,其影响因素复杂多样,学者对此研究可谓见仁见智。国外部分学者指出住宅本身的特征(Fleming和Nellis,1992)、区位特点与环境(Me-lissa和Katherine,2001)会影响其价格。Francois和Rady(1999)、Mankiw和Weil(1989)的研究结果显示

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