基于住房过滤理论的沈阳市经济适用房供给模型构建及应用研究

发布时间：2018-03-03 01:29

本文选题：经济适用房　切入点：过滤模型　出处：《沈阳建筑大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：21世纪以来,由于我国终济的迅速发展带动了其他产业的快速发展,随着住房政策的转变,房地产市场得到了空前的发展,近儿年,沈阳市的房地产价格提升的很快,导致部分中低收入阶层无法通过自己的能力购买适合自己的住房。这时需要政府根据房地产市场机制,对中低收入阶层提供一些优优惠条件,建立适合沈阳市房地产市场长远发展的政策。现阶段,沈阳市政府为中低收入阶层出台的经济适用房政策并没有完全符合沈阳市住房现状,对中低收入阶层的住房需求并不能完全满足,造成了资源的浪费,对沈阳市的建设发展造成了一定的影响。为了使沈阳市出台的经济适用房政策适合沈阳市房地产业的发展,能够建立合理的符合沈阳实际情况的供给结构,本文通过参考住房过滤理论及其模型来研究适合沈阳市经济适用房的供给情况。从20世纪20年代初期,外国的专家首次提出了过滤理论开始,经过其不断的发展,此理论在国外的研究已经比较成熟。根据限定住房过滤模型的部分假设条件,量化的分析沈阳市现阶段应该新建经济适用房的总量,在住房整个生命周期中分析房屋价格和住房结构问题,按照沈阳市房地产市场实际的运行机理进行模拟。现阶段我国对住房过滤理论及其模型的研究比较少,大多数的研究还停留在理论研究的阶段,因此本文借鉴住房过滤理论和外国典型的过滤模型,对其设定条件和参数确定进行了扩展,构建了一个适合沈阳市住房市场的供给模型,根据沈阳市经济适用房的实际供给状况进行系统的分析。本文通过研究现阶段沈阳市经济适用房市场的供给状况,对Ohls过滤模型进行了扩展和补充,加入了适合沈阳市房地产市场的价格和面积两项因素,对沈阳市经济适用房的供给模型进行了构建,根据中低收入阶层的实际支付情况对模型的部分运行条件进行了限定,通过参数的确定,运用MATLAB进行了数值模拟,测算出在供给模型的运行中沈阳市经济适用房现阶段应该新建的总量和供给标准,随后对于政府为中低收入人群直接新建经济适用房还是进行货币补贴这两种供给政策进行了比较分析,得出适合沈阳市房地产业顺利过滤并长足发展的供给方式。最后根据沈阳市实际的经济社会运行状况以及存在的问题,提出了完善保障性住房的准入退出机制、加大经济适用房投资比重、提高经济适用房的竣工率、充分放开存量房市场和采用现代技术,提高管理水平等能够减少过滤模型运行障碍的建议。
[Abstract]:Since 21th century, due to the rapid development of China's final economy, the rapid development of other industries, with the change of housing policy, the real estate market has been unprecedented development. In recent years, the real estate prices in Shenyang have risen rapidly. As a result, some low- and middle-income people are unable to purchase housing suitable for them through their own ability. At this time, the government needs to provide some preferential conditions to the low- and middle-income class in accordance with the real estate market mechanism. Establish a policy suitable for the long-term development of the real estate market in Shenyang. At this stage, the comfortable housing policy introduced by the Shenyang Municipal Government for the low- and middle-income class does not fully conform to the housing situation in Shenyang. The housing demand of the middle and low income class can not be completely satisfied, resulting in a waste of resources and a certain impact on the construction and development of Shenyang. In order to make the policy of comfortable housing issued by Shenyang suitable for the development of real estate industry in Shenyang, In order to establish a reasonable supply structure in accordance with the actual situation in Shenyang, this paper studies the supply situation suitable for comfortable housing in Shenyang by referring to the housing filtering theory and its model. The foreign experts first put forward the filtering theory, and through its continuous development, the research on this theory abroad has been more mature. According to some assumptions of the limited housing filtering model, Quantitative analysis of the total amount of comfortable housing should be built in Shenyang at this stage, and housing prices and housing structure issues should be analyzed throughout the housing life cycle. According to the actual operating mechanism of the real estate market in Shenyang, there are few researches on housing filtering theory and its model in our country at present, and most of the studies are still in the stage of theoretical research. So this paper draws lessons from the housing filtering theory and the foreign typical filtering model, and extends its setting conditions and parameters to construct a supply model suitable for the housing market in Shenyang. According to the actual supply situation of comfortable housing in Shenyang, the system analysis. By studying the supply situation of comfortable housing market in Shenyang at present, this paper expands and complements the Ohls filtering model, and adds two factors, price and area, which are suitable for Shenyang real estate market. The supply model of comfortable housing in Shenyang is constructed, and some operating conditions of the model are limited according to the actual payment situation of middle and low income class. Through the determination of parameters, the numerical simulation is carried out by using MATLAB. To calculate the total amount and supply standard that comfortable housing should build at this stage in the operation of the supply model, Subsequently, the government conducted a comparative analysis of the two supply policies of directly establishing comfortable housing or carrying out monetary subsidies for low- and middle-income people. Finally, according to the actual economic and social operation of Shenyang and the existing problems, the paper puts forward to perfect the admittance and exit mechanism of affordable housing, which is suitable for Shenyang's real estate industry to filter smoothly and develop rapidly. Some suggestions such as increasing comfortable housing's investment proportion, improving the completion rate of comfortable housing, fully opening up the stock house market, adopting modern technology and improving the management level can reduce the obstacles to the operation of the filter model.
【学位授予单位】：沈阳建筑大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F299.23

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