青岛市公共租赁住房的融资问题研究

发布时间：2018-05-21 00:43

本文选题：公共租赁住房 + 灰色系统理论　；参考：《中国海洋大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：住房问题是关系民生的重要事件之一，特别是在房价居高不下的情况下，中低收入群体对于住房的需求无法通过市场运作得到满足，在这种情况下，国家在近几年加大了保障性住房的建设力度。经适房、限价房等保障房以低于商品房的价格出售给中低收入群体，廉租房是针对低收入群体设计的，在解决这部分群体的住房问题的过程中，既买不起商品房、经适房和限价房又没有租住廉租房的“夹心层”群体的住房问题引起了大家的关注。公共租赁住房就是为了解决这部分“夹心层”群体住房问题而设计的。根据国家发布的关于保障房建设的相关文件，未来保障房的建设任务很重，其中公共租赁住房将成为未来建设的重点。在这一前提下，关于保障房的建设资金问题也突显出来，特别是公共租赁住房的建设资金问题。为此，本文在以下几个方面研究青岛市公共租赁住房的融资问题：本文首先对国内外相关文献进行了综述，梳理了公共租赁住房的定义、特点以及融资渠道和融资模式等，在此基础上分析了青岛市公租房的融资现状及存在的问题。然后，在介绍灰色系统理论的基础上，用GM（1,1）模型对青岛市公租房的短期需求进行了预测，并对预测结果进行了后验差检验，计算了拟合精度值，认为预测的精度较高。然后，根据青岛市的相关数据，分析了在未来几年内青岛市对公租房的需求量，以及对建设资金的需求量，得出每年仅建设公租房就需要近十几亿元的资金，而且可以推断，这一资金需求量会随着城镇化人口的增加而增加。基于上述结果，本文介绍了国内外发达国家和城市对于保障房融资的经验，，最后，结合根据青岛市的情况设计了多种公共租赁住房的融资模式供青岛市参考，这对于我国公租房的建设也有一定的参考意义。
[Abstract]:The housing problem is one of the important events related to the people's livelihood, especially in the case of high house prices, the demand for housing of low and middle income groups cannot be met through the operation of the market. In this case, The state has stepped up the construction of affordable housing in recent years. Comfortable housing, price limited housing and other indemnificatory apartment are sold to low and middle income groups at a lower price than commercial housing. Low-rent housing is designed for low-income groups. In the process of solving the housing problems of these groups, they cannot afford to buy commercial housing. The housing problem of comfortable housing and price-limited housing group with no rent and low-rent housing has attracted people's attention. Public rental housing is designed to solve this part of "sandwich layer" group housing problems. According to the relevant documents on indemnificatory apartment construction issued by the state, the construction task of indemnificatory apartment in the future is very heavy, among which public rental housing will become the focus of construction in the future. Under this premise, the construction fund of indemnificatory apartment is also prominent, especially the construction fund of public rental housing. Therefore, this paper studies the financing of public rental housing in Qingdao in the following aspects: This paper firstly summarizes the relevant literature at home and abroad, combing the definition, characteristics, financing channels and financing models of public rental housing, and then analyzes the current financing situation and existing problems of public rental housing in Qingdao. Then, on the basis of introducing the grey system theory, the short-term demand of public rental housing in Qingdao is forecasted by using the GMM1 / 1) model, and the result of prediction is tested by a posteriori error test, and the fitting precision is calculated, and it is considered that the precision of prediction is high. Then, according to the relevant data of Qingdao City, this paper analyzes the demand for public rental housing and the demand for construction funds in Qingdao City in the next few years. It is concluded that the construction of public rental housing alone requires nearly one billion yuan each year, and can be inferred. This capital demand will increase with the increase of urbanization population. Based on the above results, this paper introduces the experience of indemnificatory apartment financing in developed countries and cities at home and abroad. Finally, according to the situation of Qingdao, the paper designs a variety of financing models of public rental housing for reference in Qingdao. This also has certain reference significance to our country public rental housing construction.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.4;F299.23

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