民进党重返执政后“台独”势力最新发展态势分析

发布时间：2018-01-12 12:42

本文关键词：民进党重返执政后“台独”势力最新发展态势分析　出处：《台湾研究》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在当前两岸关系结构性矛盾短期内无法真正化解,以及外部势力介入持续存在的情况下,"台独"势力在台湾的社会基础就无法得到根本性消除。在此特殊情势下,"台独"势力在未来相当长的时期内,将会在岛内政治生态中持续存在,并对两岸关系和平发展产生重大的干扰与破坏性作用。而绿营重返执政后,随着"台独"势力在岛内的政治、经济、社会等生存环境大为改观,"台独"势力的组织形态、世代更替以及运作模式都出现了新的发展态势,"台独"风险及其社会影响也大为增强。尽管"台独"的发展趋向受制于多种因素,但中国大陆的崛起以及两岸实力对比的显著变化,仍然是制约"台独"势力冒险与冲动的根本性因素。
[Abstract]:At present, the structural contradictions between the two sides of the strait cannot really be resolved in the short term, and the involvement of external forces continues to exist. The social foundation of the "Taiwan independence" forces in Taiwan cannot be fundamentally eliminated, and under such special circumstances, the "Taiwan independence" forces will continue to exist in the island's political ecology for a long time to come. After the Green Camp returned to power, with the political, economic, social and other living environment of the "Taiwan independence" forces on the island greatly improved. The organizational form of the "Taiwan independence" forces, the replacement of generations, and the operation mode have all shown a new development trend, and the risks of "Taiwan independence" and its social impact have also greatly increased, although the development trend of "Taiwan independence" is subject to many factors. However, the rise of mainland China and the significant changes in the cross-straits power ratio are still the fundamental factors restricting the risk-taking and impulse of the "Taiwan independence" forces.
【作者单位】：两岸关系和平发展协同创新中心;厦门大学台湾研究院政治研究所;
【基金】：“中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助”的成果,项目编号:20720171096~~
【分类号】：D675.8
【正文快照】： 民进党重返执政以来,随着绿营全面掌控台湾岛内政治、经济、军事及社会等资源,“台独”势力日渐嚣张,“独派”对抗大陆的心态也不断膨胀起来,这无疑会对两岸关系和平发展进程造成极大的影响与冲击。绿营上台以来短短不到一年的时间里,“台独”势力在岛内就掀起了一波波的“台

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