乌鲁木齐市蔬菜价格影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-01-13 02:39

本文关键词：乌鲁木齐市蔬菜价格影响因素分析　出处：《新疆农业大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：蔬菜是居民生活的必需品,随着新疆经济迅速的发展,城乡居民收入水平不断提高,人民生活水平也持续提高,蔬菜消费逐渐从解决温饱问题的必需食品转变为满足人们营养均衡、饮食健康的基础食品,在城镇尤为突出。蔬菜消费方式由粗放走向精细,人们不再满足于能吃到蔬菜,而且要求吃得新鲜、吃得精致。目前新疆蔬菜自供能力有限,夏季可自主供给能力尚可,且品种也较为丰富,但是冬季蔬菜80%的供给量要依靠疆外,并且蔬菜批发价格普遍高于内地城市,因此,完善和做好蔬菜工作,保障蔬菜供应和稳控蔬菜价格是一项重要的任务。乌鲁木齐市是新疆维吾尔自治区首府城市,也是集政治、经济、文化中心为一体的多重功能城市,截至2013年,全市人口规模达到346万,是全疆蔬菜的主要销售城市和集散区域。近期以来,乌鲁木齐市蔬菜价格波动较为明显,尤其是季节性波动突出,这是受多重因素影响的结果,但究竟其价格波动的具体因素影响如何,为此本文以乌鲁木齐市为主要研究范围,选取其2009-2013年的相关基础数据,包括地区生产总值、居民消费价格指数(CPI)、蔬菜种植面积、蔬菜产量、地区总人口、城镇居民人均可支配收入、农牧民人均纯收入、蔬菜消费量等资料依据因子模型进行测算,旨在以此模型分析乌鲁木齐市蔬菜价格波动的影响因素和分析;通过构建计量模型,进行数据处理和评判,结果显示:2009-2013年,乌鲁木齐市蔬菜价格影响因素以经济发展和消费影响为主,生产供给影响不显著。最后在此基础上提出稳控蔬菜价格的对策建议,以期蔬菜价格更加稳控、人民生活水平更加稳定、乌鲁木齐市社会和经济更加发展。
[Abstract]:Vegetables are living necessities, along with the rapid economic development of Xinjiang, the income level of urban and rural residents continue to improve, people's living standards continue to improve, gradually from the change of food consumption of vegetables must solve the problem of food and clothing to meet the people's nutrition balanced, healthy diet based on food in the town is particularly prominent. Vegetable consumption pattern from extensive to fine people are no longer satisfied, can eat vegetables, but also eat fresh, eat delicate vegetables. At present Xinjiang self limited capacity, self supply ability passable in summer, and the species are more abundant, but the supply of vegetables in winter 80% to rely on Xinjiang, and the wholesale price of vegetables is generally higher than the mainland city, so perfect and do the vegetables work, guarantee the supply of vegetables and vegetable price stability control is an important task. The city of Urumqi is the capital city of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, is also set The political, economic and cultural center, the multiple functions of the city, as one of the city's population as of 2013, the scale reached 3 million 460 thousand, Xinjiang is a major selling vegetables city and distribution area. Recently, Urumqi vegetable price fluctuation is more obvious, especially the seasonal fluctuation process, which is influenced by multiple factors, but how to what is the specific factors of the price fluctuations, this paper takes Urumqi city as the main research scope, select the 2009-2013 years of relevant basic data, including GDP, consumer price index (CPI), vegetable planting area, vegetable production area, the total population, per capita disposable income of urban residents, per capita net income of farmers and herdsmen on the basis of the data, vegetable consumption factor model was calculated, and analysis of influence factors in this model analysis of Urumqi city vegetable price fluctuation; by constructing econometric model Type, data processing and evaluation, the results showed that: 2009-2013 years, the price of vegetables in Urumqi city influence factors influence economic development and consumption, production and supply is not significantly affected. Finally put forward on the basis of stability control countermeasures in the price of vegetables, vegetable prices in order to control the level of people's life more stable, more stable society, Urumqi city and the development of economy.

【学位授予单位】：新疆农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F323.7;F326.13

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