中美非对称相互依赖与权力变迁的实证分析

发布时间：2018-01-21 14:57

本文关键词： 中美关系非对称相互依赖权力转移政治权力经济权力　出处：《世界经济研究》2015年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：中美之间存在非对称相互依赖的关系,主要反映在外交、贸易、投资、经济自由化与技术等领域,不过这种非对称相互依赖正随美国世界霸权地位的逐渐削弱、中国世界政治经济地位的渐趋增强而发生演变。文章通过构建声誉模型,试图阐释中美非对称相互依赖及其权力变迁的过程。文章认为这一过程可以分为美国占绝对优势、显著优势、相对明显优势、比较优势四个阶段。根据国际政治经济学理论,文章指出两国非对称相互依赖及其权力变迁的根本原因在于两国政治与市场的交互影响、要素比较优势的动态差异,其中市场体量尤其是中国市场体量是决定中美权力资源配置的关键要素。虽然目前在中美双边关系中美国仍处于有利位势,但是中国的权力位势正在逐步增加。文章通过格兰杰因果检验证实,中美政治权力与经济权力存在双向因果关系,这种关系是推动中美权力变迁的内在动力。文章认为,中美外交关系的改善、中国经济自由化的扩大、投资权力的增强和技术实力的上升,有助于增强中国在国际上的政治与经济权力;中方应抓住非对称相互依赖变迁中有利于中国变化的趋势,积极推进对美合作共赢战略,将中美关系引向对称依赖方向发展。
[Abstract]:There is an asymmetric interdependence between China and the United States, mainly reflected in the fields of diplomacy, trade, investment, economic liberalization and technology. However, this asymmetric interdependence is gradually weakening with the United States' hegemonic position in the world. China's political and economic status in the world has gradually increased and evolved. This paper attempts to explain the process of asymmetric interdependence between China and the United States and its power transition. The paper argues that this process can be divided into the absolute advantage of the United States, the significant advantage, and the relative obvious advantage. According to the theory of international political economy, this paper points out that the fundamental cause of asymmetric interdependence and power transition between the two countries lies in the interaction between politics and market. The dynamic difference of the comparative advantage of elements, among which the market volume, especially the Chinese market volume, is the key factor to determine the allocation of power resources between China and the United States, although the United States is still in a favorable position in the bilateral relations between China and the United States. However, the power potential of China is gradually increasing. The Granger causality test proves that there is a two-way causal relationship between political power and economic power in China and the United States. The article holds that the improvement of Sino-US diplomatic relations, the expansion of China's economic liberalization, the enhancement of investment power and the rise of technological strength. Help to strengthen China's political and economic power in the international arena; China should grasp the changing trend of asymmetric interdependence, actively promote the win-win strategy for cooperation with the United States, and lead Sino-US relations to the direction of symmetrical dependence.
【作者单位】：上海财经大学国际工商管理学院;
【分类号】：D822.371.2;F125
【正文快照】： 一、引言及文献综述自1979年中美建交以来,随着双边政治、经济等交往的扩大,相互依赖程度不断加强。但总体上,这种相互依赖关系处于非对称性状况,即彼此的依赖程度有强弱之分,不仅外交政治关系如此,贸易、投资、经济自由化和技术等经济关系亦如是,这导致依赖程度低的美国在某

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