人民币国际化的障碍分析与路径选择
本文关键词: 货币国际化 人民币 铸币税 障碍 路径选择 出处:《安徽大学》2014年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
【摘要】:中国从2010年开始超过日本,成为世界第二大经济体国家,最近几年的经济总量也一直保持增长。毫无疑问,伴随着中国经济实力的不断增强,中国在世界政治经济舞台上所扮演的角色会越来越重要。但是人民币到目前还是游离于国际货币体系之外,这种情况是难以满足市场日益增长的需求。作为世界第二大经济体,中国的主权货币——人民币却没有得到与之相对应的国际地位。因此,为推动国际货币体系改革和推进人民币的国际化相关的研究具有重要的战略意义和现实意义。 随着中国经济实力的不断增强,中国在国际社会上的政治经济地位也逐步得到广泛认同,这为人民币国际化打下了坚实的基础。在一定范围内,人民币获得了比较广泛的认可和使用。比如说,在东南亚地区,人民币现已成为仅次于美元、欧元和日元的硬通货;在中国的西南边境,人民币享有“小美元”的昵称;人民币的跨境贸易结算规模在过去五年内呈现出几何倍数增长的景象;在中国港澳地区和新加坡等国的人民币离岸市场上,不断有产品创新,出现供求两旺的活跃市场。中国政府也采取了一系列措施为人民币国际化的发展扫清障碍,铺垫道路。中国的央行和亚洲其他多个国家央行签订了双边货币互换协议;中国上海成立了自由贸易试验区,是金融创新和金融改革试验的排头兵;跨境贸易人民币结算试点企业的范围扩大至全国,同时,不再限制境外地域;另外,开始有条件的开放内地企业以人民币进行境外直接投资活动。中国应抓住机遇,利用当前有利的国内外环境,按着中国的国情和现状,不怕犯错,敢于尝试,摸索一条人民币国际化道路。 论文主要对人民币国际化的铸币税收益和成本以及会遇到的障碍做了分析,在借鉴世界主要国际货币的国际化经验的基础上,提出了人民币国际化的战略路径选择和相关建议。在第一章里,主要对国内外研究货币国际化的相关理论进行了梳理,为接下来的研究打下理论基础;在第二章介绍了人民币国际化所具备的现实条件和最新的发展状况,对当前的人民币国际化情况建立初步的印象;第三章主要是针对人民币国际化的收益和成本使用了定量分析和定性分析相结合的方法进行分析,探讨人民币国际化的必要性;第四章分析了人民币国际化道路上出现的各种障碍,为了后文能提出有针对性的建议措施;第五章主要是运用归纳和对比的方法,分别介绍了英镑、美元、日元和欧元的国际化经验,希望人民币国际化从中吸取教训和获得启示;第六章提出了人民币国际化战略路径,从实际角度出发,提出了推广人民币使用的建议和对人民币回流问题的对策措施。
[Abstract]:China has overtaken Japan as the world's second-largest economy since 2010, and its economy has been growing in recent years. China's role in the world's political and economic arena will become increasingly important. But the yuan is still outside the international monetary system. This situation is difficult to meet the growing market demand. As the world's second-largest economy, China's sovereign currency, the renminbi, has not been given corresponding international status. In order to promote the reform of the international monetary system and promote the internationalization of RMB research has important strategic and practical significance. With the continuous strengthening of China's economic strength, China's political and economic status in the international community has gradually been widely recognized, which has laid a solid foundation for the internationalization of RMB. For example, in Southeast Asia, the renminbi is now second only to the US dollar, the euro and the Japanese yen. On China's southwestern border, the renminbi has the nickname "small dollar"; The scale of cross-border trade settlement of RMB has been increasing exponentially in the past five years. In China, Hong Kong, Macao, Singapore and other countries in the offshore market of renminbi, there is continuous product innovation. The Chinese government has also taken a series of measures to clear the way for the internationalization of the renminbi. Paving the way. China's central bank has signed bilateral currency swap agreements with other Asian central banks; Shanghai, China, has set up a free trade pilot zone, which is the vanguard of financial innovation and financial reform. The scope of RMB settlement pilot enterprises for cross-border trade will be extended to the whole country, and at the same time, the territory outside China will no longer be restricted; In addition, China should seize the opportunity to take advantage of the current favorable domestic and foreign environment, and be not afraid of making mistakes according to China's national conditions and current situation. Dare to try and explore a way to internationalize RMB. The paper mainly analyzes the seigniorage income and cost of RMB internationalization and the obstacles it will meet, on the basis of drawing lessons from the international experience of the major international currencies in the world. In the first chapter, the related theories of currency internationalization at home and abroad are combed in order to lay a theoretical foundation for the following research; In the second chapter, the author introduces the realistic conditions and the latest development of RMB internationalization, and sets up a preliminary impression of the current RMB internationalization. The third chapter mainly aims at the RMB internationalization income and the cost has used the quantitative analysis and the qualitative analysis unifies the method to carry on the analysis, discusses the RMB internationalization necessity; Chapter 4th analyzes the various obstacles on the road of RMB internationalization, in order to put forward targeted recommendations; Chapter 5th mainly introduces the internationalization experience of sterling, US dollar, Japanese yen and euro by means of induction and comparison, hoping that RMB internationalization will draw lessons from it and draw inspiration from it. Chapter 6th puts forward the strategic path of RMB internationalization, and from the practical point of view, puts forward suggestions to promote the use of RMB and countermeasures to the problem of RMB return.
【学位授予单位】:安徽大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F832.6
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