三重政治经济失衡与全球化的未来

发布时间：2018-02-24 14:28

本文关键词： 全球化全球失衡政治分歧经济融合文明冲突　出处：《探索与争鸣》2017年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：2016年以来,世界政治中的"黑天鹅"现象频现。这是否意味着全球化正在发生逆转?全球化不仅是指经济全球化,而且是指政治全球化与文化全球化,但三者之间往往存在着严重的不平衡和潜在的冲突。从历史经验来看,人类自19世纪以来曾经历过三次全球化浪潮和一次全球化退潮。国际体系的不稳定、主要大国之间的冲突、全球性的金融与经济危机,是全球化退潮的主要原因;反之,全球化就处在稳步的上升过程之中。对于21世纪的全球化来说,主要挑战来自于过去数十年的全球化导致的经济失衡、政治失衡与政治-经济失衡。简而言之,国际体系中的经济融合与政治分歧之间的平衡关系,将决定全球化的未来。
[Abstract]:Since 2016, the "black swan" phenomenon in world politics has been frequent. Does this mean that globalization is reversing? Globalization refers not only to economic globalization, but also to political globalization and cultural globalization, but there are often serious imbalances and potential conflicts between them. Since 19th century, mankind has experienced three waves of globalization and one ebb of globalization. The instability of the international system, conflicts among major powers, and global financial and economic crisis are the main reasons for the decline of globalization. Globalization is in the midst of a steady rise. For globalization in 21th century, the main challenge comes from the economic imbalances, political imbalances and political-economic imbalances of the past few decades. The balance between economic integration and political divisions in the international system will determine the future of globalisation.
【作者单位】：复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院;两岸关系和平发展协同创新中心(复旦大学);
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“合作治理:国家治理体系现代化与国家责任研究”(15ZDA031)
【分类号】：D51;F114.41

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