中国怎样迈向贸易强国:一个新的分析思路

发布时间：2018-05-26 00:56

本文选题：贸易强国 + 共性和特性　；参考：《经济研究》2017年05期

【摘要】：建设贸易强国是我国"十三五"时期(或许更长时期内)经济发展的重要目标之一。所谓贸易强国,它是一个国际对比的概念。因此本文首先要回答,当今世界谁是贸易强国?在世界经济多极化趋势下,贸易强国不可能只有一个,如果有若干个,那么就如同自然界生物多样性规律,森林里的树叶没有两片是相同的。各个贸易强国之间也不可能一模一样,其中必有共性特征,也有各自的特殊性。既分析它们的共性特征,又力图揭示不同国家的特殊性,这是本文的方法论。随着国际金融危机之后全球政治经济环境出现新变化及我国经济进入新常态,我们需要对贸易强国的内涵及其共性特征有新的辨析,从而构建贸易强国共性指标并进行实证分析,筛选出有客观依据的贸易强国;然后构建贸易强国特性指标和分类方法,划分出多种贸易强国类型,且对每类贸易强国的代表性国家进行简要分析。在这种分析基础上,再客观分析我国与世界各贸易强国的差距,提出我国迈向贸易强国的目标和路径,尤其是需要科学判断和界定我国应该达到的贸易强国标准和目标,准确分析我国成为贸易强国各种类型的演变趋势,提出当下我国迈向贸易强国的主要政策思路。
[Abstract]:Building a powerful trade country is one of the important goals of economic development in the Thirteenth Five-Year Plan period (or longer term). The so-called trade power, it is an international contrast concept. Therefore, the first answer of this paper is, who is the trade power in the world today? Under the trend of multipolarization of the world economy, there cannot be only one trading power. If there are several, then, just as the natural law of biodiversity, no two leaves in the forest are the same. Each trade power also cannot be identical, among them must have the common characteristic, also has their own particularity. It is the methodology of this paper to analyze their common features and to reveal the particularities of different countries. With the emergence of new changes in the global political and economic environment after the international financial crisis and the entry of China's economy into a new normal, we need to have a new analysis of the connotation and common characteristics of a trade power. In order to construct the common index of trade power and carry on the empirical analysis to screen out the trade powerful country which has the objective basis then constructs the trade powerful country characteristic index and the classification method divides many kinds of trade powerful country type. And to each kind of trade powerful country representative country carries on the brief analysis. On the basis of this analysis, this paper analyzes objectively the gap between China and the world's trading powers, and puts forward the goal and path for our country to move towards a strong trade power, especially the standards and objectives that our country should achieve in judging and defining the trade power that our country should achieve. This paper analyzes on the evolution trend of China's becoming a trade power, and puts forward the main policy thinking of our country to become a trade power.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院经济研究所;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目(15CJY062,14CJY003)的资助
【分类号】：F752

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