城镇化对城乡居民消费的影响

发布时间：2018-01-10 12:29

本文关键词：城镇化对城乡居民消费的影响　出处：《城市问题》2014年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：从1985-2012年全国城镇化和居民消费支出的互动关系来看,城镇化同消费支出变化及平均消费倾向变化并无直接关联;从31省(市、自治区)面板数据的空间计量分析来看,目前居民消费增长的主因仍在于收入的提高,经济增长对扩大消费也有显著正影响,但城镇化对消费的影响并不显著。这表明,近年来城镇化率的提高实际上并没有带动居民消费的增长。不确定的未来预期、分割性户籍制度、缺位的社会保障以及相对牢固的习惯习俗,阻断了城镇化同居民消费增长的联系。
[Abstract]:From the interactive relationship between urbanization and consumer expenditure in the whole country from 1985 to 2012, there is no direct relationship between urbanization and the change of consumption expenditure and the change of average consumption tendency. From the spatial econometric analysis of the panel data of 31 provinces (cities and autonomous regions), the main reason of the residents' consumption growth is still the increase of income, and the economic growth has a significant positive impact on the expansion of consumption. However, the impact of urbanization on consumption is not significant. This shows that the increase of urbanization rate in recent years has not actually led to the growth of household consumption. Lack of social security and relatively strong customs have blocked the link between urbanization and consumer growth.
【作者单位】：东北师范大学经济学院;日本一桥大学商学研究科;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目(10&ZD054)——中国积极参与国际货币体系改革进程研究
【分类号】：F299.2;F126.1
【正文快照】： 一引言作为新时期一项重要的国家战略,新型城镇化肩负着扩大内需、拉动增长的重任。推行新型城镇化战略,一方面要依靠城镇化进程中的巨额投资需求拉动经济增长,另一方面则寄希望于有序释放内需潜力,增强经济发展的内生动力。理论上讲,城镇化对扩大内需具有两方面的积极影响:一

【参考文献】