甘肃省区域区位塌陷问题研究
发布时间:2018-01-10 16:00
本文关键词:甘肃省区域区位塌陷问题研究 出处:《甘肃农业大学》2013年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
更多相关文章: 区域区位塌陷 影响因素 交通区位 产业区位 人才区位 协整分析
【摘要】:改革开放以来,中国借力于海洋文明的高效和便利,采取了非均衡区域发展战略及相应的区域倾斜政策,迅速形成沿海、中部和内陆三级“梯度发展”态势。但是由于国家区域政策的重心是经济增长,国家投资和其他一些政策向东部倾斜,各种生产要素向东部聚集,使得东部与中西部地区的差距越来越大。非均衡的发展战略未能解决我国区域经济差异扩大的问题,此后,我国区域经济发展战略由向东部倾斜的非均衡发展转变为东、中及西部地区协调发展。甘肃省地处内陆,经济落后,总体经济实力弱于东部地区,再加上自然条件差、开发成本高、比较效益低,其资源优势很难转化为市场优势、产业优势和经济优势。又由于远离全国经济中心、消费中心和出海港口,沿海发达地区对其辐射带动作用也较弱。加入WTO后,中国整体进入持续高速发展阶段,甘肃在全国的战略地位迅速下滑。在此背景下,研究提升甘肃省在全国战略地位的可行路径,为制定面向可持续发展的战略地位提升决策提供理论和方法依据,具有现实意义。 本选题是甘肃省社科规划重大项目课题《甘肃在全国提升战略地位的路径选择》的一部份。基于对该项目的研究,笔者首先运用数学方法对区域区位塌陷进行了定义,然后对甘肃省区域区位塌陷状况进行了基本的判断。结果发现甘肃省存在着区域区位的“绝对塌陷”和“相对塌陷”的现状。其次,笔者从交通区位、人才区位、产业区位等几个方面,利用指标数据与全国平均水平及广东、江苏、河南几个省份进行对比分析,得出甘肃省区位塌陷的主要影响因素;随后选取若干指标,利用1990-2010年的数据,运用计量经济学中的协整分析,对甘肃省区域区位塌陷的主要影响因素进行了实证研究。主要研究结论如下:首先,交通、人才、产业均为GDP的格兰杰原因,这说明,交通、产业、人才均为甘肃省区域区位塌陷现状的重要影响因素。其次,交通对塌陷状况影响最大,这说明,交通对改善甘肃省区域区位塌陷状况起着最为关键的作用;第三,影响系数较大的是产业因素,而系数相对较小的是人才因素。最后,笔者通过分析得出启示:发展“通道经济”,实施反边缘化发展;推进产业结构的演进和经济增长方式的转变;培育和强化区域人才队伍建设;建立有利于城市化发展的产业集群和政策环境;加大投入,,确保生态环境的稳定和改善。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China has taken advantage of the high efficiency and convenience of the marine civilization and adopted the unbalanced regional development strategy and the corresponding regional tilt policy, which has rapidly formed the coastal area. However, as the focus of national regional policy is economic growth, state investment and other policies tend to the east, and various factors of production converge to the east. The gap between the east and the central and western regions is getting bigger and bigger. The unbalanced development strategy can not solve the problem of widening the regional economic difference in our country. China's regional economic development strategy has changed from the unbalanced development to the east, and the coordinated development of the central and western regions. Gansu Province is located in the interior, economic backwardness, the overall economic strength is weaker than the eastern region. In addition, the natural conditions are poor, the development cost is high, the comparative benefit is low, its resource advantage is very difficult to transform into the market advantage, the industry superiority and the economic advantage, and because of being far from the national economic center, the consumption center and the port of sea. After China's entry into WTO, China as a whole has entered the stage of sustained and high-speed development, and Gansu's strategic position in the whole country has declined rapidly. It is of practical significance to study the feasible way to promote the strategic position of Gansu Province in the whole country and to provide the theoretical and methodological basis for making the strategic position promotion decision oriented to sustainable development. This topic is a part of Gansu Province Social Science Planning Project "Gansu in the national strategic position of the path choice". Based on this project research. Firstly, the author uses mathematical method to define regional location collapse. The results show that there are "absolute collapse" and "relative collapse" of the regional location in Gansu Province. Secondly, the author from the traffic location. Talent location, industrial location and other aspects, using the index data and the national average level and Guangdong, Jiangsu, Henan provinces for comparison and analysis, the main factors affecting the location collapse in Gansu Province; Then selected a number of indicators, using the data from 1990 to 2010, the use of econometric cointegration analysis. The main research conclusions are as follows: firstly, traffic, talent and industry are all Granger reasons of GDP, which shows that traffic, industry. Talents are the important influencing factors of the regional regional collapse in Gansu Province. Secondly, traffic has the greatest influence on the collapsing situation, which shows that traffic plays the most important role in improving the regional regional collapse in Gansu Province. Thirdly, the industrial factor is the most influential factor, while the talent factor is relatively small. Finally, the author draws the enlightenment through the analysis: developing "channel economy" and implementing anti-marginalizing development; To promote the evolution of industrial structure and the transformation of economic growth mode; Cultivating and strengthening the construction of regional talent team; Establishing an industrial cluster and policy environment conducive to the development of urbanization; Increase investment to ensure the stability and improvement of the ecological environment.
【学位授予单位】:甘肃农业大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F127
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