低碳经济背景下广东省产业结构升级研究

发布时间：2018-01-11 04:03

本文关键词：低碳经济背景下广东省产业结构升级研究　出处：《暨南大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文旨在对广东省低碳经济转型下的产业结构变化进行研究,明确推进节能减排的低碳经济,对广东省经济发展及产业结构会产生怎样的影响。首先就广东省经济发展、产业结构、能源消费及碳排放现状予以描述,进而对能源消耗、碳排放与产业结构的关系进行理论与实证分析,得出结论并提出实现低碳转型下产业结构升级的政策建议。具体而言,依据广东省经济发展实情,分析广东省三次产业间及各产业内部的结构变化,对广东省的三次产业及各主要行业的碳排放与能源消费变化趋势进行描述性统计分析,明确碳排放总量、碳排放强度及能源消费量、能源强度在不同产业及各行业部门间的分布特征及变化规律。采用向量自回归模型(VAR)分析1995-2012年间广东的能源强度、二氧化碳排放强度和产业结构的变化,并进行平稳性检验与格兰杰因果检验。通过VAR模型中的脉冲响应函数,分析碳强度与能源强度对产业结构的冲击效应。结果表明,碳强度和能源强度对产业结构有负向冲击效应,因而在低碳转型下,降低能源消耗与碳排放,倒逼产业结构的优化升级。
[Abstract]:The purpose of this paper is to study the changes of industrial structure under the transition of low-carbon economy in Guangdong Province, and to clearly promote the low-carbon economy with energy saving and emission reduction. First of all, the economic development, industrial structure, energy consumption and carbon emissions of Guangdong Province will be described, and then energy consumption. The relationship between carbon emissions and industrial structure is analyzed theoretically and empirically, and the conclusion is drawn and the policy recommendations are put forward to realize the upgrading of industrial structure under low-carbon transformation. Specifically, according to the economic development situation of Guangdong Province. This paper analyzes the structural changes of three industries and each industry in Guangdong Province, and makes a descriptive statistical analysis of the carbon emissions and energy consumption trends of the three industries and major industries in Guangdong Province, and clarifies the total amount of carbon emissions. Carbon intensity and energy consumption. The distribution and variation of energy intensity in different industries and sectors. The energy intensity in Guangdong Province from 1995 to 2012 was analyzed by using VAR model. The change of carbon dioxide emission intensity and industrial structure, and the smoothness test and Granger causality test. The impulse response function in VAR model is used. The impact effect of carbon intensity and energy intensity on industrial structure is analyzed. The results show that carbon intensity and energy intensity have negative impact effect on industrial structure, so energy consumption and carbon emission are reduced under low carbon transition. The optimization and upgrading of industrial structure.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F121.3

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