长株潭城市群地区土地利用变化与经济发展的耦合研究

发布时间：2018-01-11 17:30

本文关键词：长株潭城市群地区土地利用变化与经济发展的耦合研究　出处：《湖南师范大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：进入21世纪以来,随着经济的快速发展,人类活动对土地利用／土地覆被变化的主导作用日益突出,社会经济发展及其政策因素等对区域土地利用变化具有巨大影响,土地利用变化与经济发展之间具有密切的互动关系。从2007年长株潭城市群地区获批国家“两型社会”建设综合配套改革试验区以来,城市规模的扩大、工业化进程的加快,经济的飞速增长等导致了土地利用方式发生很大变化。土地资源供应的刚性约束,促使人类想方设法提高土地利用率,科学合理、节约集约用地、走协调、可持续发展的道路。因此,有必要深入研究土地利用变化与经济发展之间的耦合关系,为合理安排用地政策,提高用地效率,满足经济的快速发展,具有重要的理论和现实意义。本文以长株潭城市群地区为研究对象,运用数理统计方法,对长株潭城市群地区地利用结构变化,数量的动态变化和区域差异相对变化,及经济发展态势、城市化水平和三次产业的变化情况进行了全面分析,并利用计量经济学模型分别分析了建设用地、耕地与经济发展的耦合关系。在ADF检验的基础上,进一步用Granger因果检验分析土地利用变化与经济发展是否存在着长期均衡及动态的因果关系,再是用脉冲响应函数及方差分解分析两者之间对彼此的冲击影响及贡献程度。研究结果表明：目前长株潭城市群地区正处于经济和城市化加速发展的双重阶段,土地利用变化主要以耕地和建设用地为主要竞争内容,建设用地与GDP、固定资产投资总额、城市化水平存在正相关关系,而与耕地面积呈负相关。经济发展对建设用地的依赖程度高,是以建设用地规模扩张为代价,建设用地集约利用程度较低,并由从土地利用变化未能较好地适应经济发展到土地利用对经济发展的限制、约束作用的凸显,以及经济发展对土地利用的胁迫作用,两者之间处于低效耦合状态。最后,根据对长株潭城市群地区土地利用变化与经济发展的耦合研究结论和实际情况,为促进“两型社会”又好又快的发展,有针对性地提出了土地利用与经济发展相协调、可持续发展的调控政策。
[Abstract]:Since 21th century, with the rapid development of economy, the dominant role of human activities on land use / land cover change has become increasingly prominent. Social and economic development and its policy factors have a great impact on regional land use change. There is a close interaction between land use change and economic development. Since 2007, Chang-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration area was approved by the country "two type society" to build a comprehensive supporting reform pilot area, the scale of the city has expanded. With the acceleration of industrialization and the rapid growth of economy, great changes have taken place in the mode of land use. The rigid constraints of the supply of land resources urge human beings to try their best to improve the utilization rate of land, which is scientific and reasonable. Therefore, it is necessary to study the coupling relationship between land use change and economic development in order to rationally arrange land use policy and improve land use efficiency. To meet the rapid development of the economy, has important theoretical and practical significance. This paper takes Chang-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration area as the research object, uses the mathematical statistics method, to the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration area land use structure change, the quantity dynamic change and the regional difference relative change, and the economic development situation. The level of urbanization and the changes of three industries are comprehensively analyzed, and the coupling relationship between construction land, cultivated land and economic development is analyzed by econometrics model. On the basis of ADF test. Further use Granger causality test to analyze whether there is a long-term equilibrium and dynamic causality between land use change and economic development. Then the impulse response function and variance decomposition are used to analyze the impact on each other and the degree of contribution. The results show that the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration area is in the dual stage of accelerating economic and urbanization development. Land use change mainly takes cultivated land and construction land as the main competition content. There is a positive correlation between construction land and GDP, total investment in fixed assets, urbanization level. And there is a negative correlation with the cultivated land area. The economic development is highly dependent on the construction land, which is at the cost of the scale expansion of the construction land, and the intensive use of the construction land is low. And from the land use change failed to adapt to the economic development to land use of economic development constraints, constraints, and economic development on land use of the role of coercion. There is an inefficient coupling between the two. Finally, according to the coupling of land use change and economic development in Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration, it is good and fast to promote the development of "two-oriented society". The adjustment and control policy of sustainable development of land use and economic development is put forward.
【学位授予单位】：湖南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F301.2;F127

【参考文献】