西江流域交通运输对产业发展的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-13 02:24

本文关键词：西江流域交通运输对产业发展的影响研究　出处：《暨南大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文对国内外交通运输经济相关理论研究作了系统的阐述和评价，介绍了西江流域四省区交通运输与产业发展的基本情况。然后对西江流域交通运输与产业发展的相关性进行实证分析,运用典型相关分析法以及回归分析法定量分析西江流域交通运输对产业发展的影响。研究表明：交通运输中的旅客周转量和铁路营业里程与产业发展的各指标的联系是很紧密的，对地区生产总值与产业增加值的影响最为显著。第一，交通运输对四省区的生产总值产生了影响。旅客周转量的影响作用最大。广东以及整个流域的地区生产总值与货物周转量负相关，由于第二产业增加值、第三产业增加值与货物周转量负相关。云南的内河航道里程的影响作用最大，其他三省以及整个流域的铁路营业里程的影响作用最大。第二，交通运输对第一产业的发展有促进作用。旅客周转量的影响作用最大。广东以及整个流域的第一产业增加值和旅客周转量呈负相关的关系，说明广东的第一产业增加值在降低。云南、贵州的内河航道里程的影响作用最大，广西、广东以及整个流域的铁路营业里程的影响作用最大。第三，交通运输对第二产业的发展有促进作用。广西的货物周转量的影响作用最大，其余三省以及整个流域的旅客周转量的影响作用最大。云南的内河航道里程的影响作用最大，其余三省以及整个流域的铁路营业里程的影响作用最大。第四，交通运输对第三产业的发展有促进作用。旅客周转量的影响作用最大。广东以及整个流域第三产业增加值与货物周转量负相关，说明广东第三产业所占的比重较大，而货物周转量的增加并不会促进第三产业尤其是以金融业为首的服务业的发展。云南的内河航道里程的影响作用最大，其余三省以及整个流域的铁路营业里程的影响作用最大。文章在政策建议部分提出促进西江流域交通运输发展的建议，，包括交通基础设施一体化，交通运输空间网络布局合理化，信息化，可持续发展等。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the domestic and foreign transportation economy related theory research has made the systematic elaboration and the appraisal. This paper introduces the basic situation of transportation and industry development in four provinces and regions of Xijiang River Basin, and then makes an empirical analysis on the correlation between transportation and industry development in Xijiang River Basin. The impact of transportation on the development of industry in Xijiang River Basin is analyzed quantitatively by means of canonical correlation analysis and regression analysis. The results show that: the passenger turnover and railway mileage are closely related to the indicators of industrial development, and the impact on the regional GDP and industrial added value is the most significant. First. Transportation has an impact on the GDP of the four provinces and regions. The passenger turnover is the most important. The GDP of Guangdong and the whole river basin is negatively correlated with the turnover of goods due to the added value of the second industry. The third industry added value and cargo turnover negative correlation. Yunnan inland waterway mileage has the greatest impact, the other three provinces and the whole valley of railway mileage has the greatest impact. Second. Traffic and transportation promote the development of the primary industry. The effect of passenger turnover is the biggest. The value added of primary industry in Guangdong and the whole river basin is negatively related to the volume of passenger turnover. It shows that the value added of the first industry in Guangdong is decreasing. The influence of inland waterway mileage in Yunnan and Guizhou is the greatest, and the influence of railway operating mileage in Guangxi, Guangdong and the whole river basin is the biggest. Third. Transportation promotes the development of the secondary industry. Guangxi has the greatest impact on the turnover of goods. The other three provinces and the whole river basin have the greatest influence on passenger turnover, Yunnan inland waterway mileage has the biggest effect, the remaining three provinces and the whole river basin have the biggest influence on railway operating mileage. 4th. Traffic and transportation promote the development of the tertiary industry, and the passenger turnover is the most important. The value added of the third industry in Guangdong and the whole river basin is negatively related to the turnover of goods. It shows that the proportion of the third industry in Guangdong is large, and the increase of the turnover of goods will not promote the development of the third industry, especially the service industry led by the financial industry. The influence of the inland waterway mileage in Yunnan is the greatest. The other three provinces and the whole valley of railway mileage have the greatest impact. In the part of policy suggestions, the paper puts forward some suggestions to promote the development of transportation in Xijiang River Basin, including the integration of transportation infrastructure, the rationalization of transportation space network layout, information technology, sustainable development, etc.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F512.7

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