中国产业经济福利水平测度及提升策略研究
本文关键词: 经济福利 产业经济福利 产业经济福利系数 社会福利系数 出处:《辽宁大学》2016年博士论文 论文类型:学位论文
【摘要】:当前,产业结构失衡已经严重制约了我国经济的可持续发展。2015年11月10日,中共中央总书记、中央财经领导小组组长习近平在中央财经领导小组第十一次会议上提出了“供给侧结构性改革”。产业结构调整是供给侧改革的一个重要方面。以什么样的方式,什么样的目的,如何进行产业结构调整是我国当前面对的核心问题。以往的研究都是以增进GDP增长为核心或标准来进行产业结构调整、产业层次升级。然而产业GDP在增长的同时,我国的民生福祉并没有同步增长,导致我国经济可持续性发展能力较弱,甚至陷入恶性循环。经济发展的最终目的是提高人民群众生活水平,增进人民的福祉。因此,有必要转变研究思路,以提高福利水平为出发点和落脚点,不单纯立足于GDP贡献,更重要立足于国民福利(工资福利,公共税收福利、环境福利)的贡献,以提升产业经济福利水平为标准,调整我国产业结构是一条可持续的发展路径,符合以人为本的发展理念。本文立足产业GDP基础,在经济福利测度框架的基础上,结合产业经济福利(绝对数)和产业经济福利贡献两个方面对中国产业经济福利水平进行测度分析,通过我国产业经济福利的影响因素分析,产业经济福利水平提升的经济效应分析,寻找产业层次与经济福利之间的内在联系,最终提出以增进福利为标准,进行产业结构调整,合理布局,提升产业经济福利水平,进而提升社会总福利水平的理论设想。产业经济福利是指在一定时期内(本文以年为单位),能用货币单位来衡量的产业所有经济活动直接或间接分配给人的利益支出。本文从产业经济福利内涵界定出发,在经济福利测度框架的基础上,以产业实际劳动收入、产业税收收入、产业环境污染损失成本、产业个人工资福利系数、产业公共税收福利系数、产业就业福利系数、产业环境污染损失系数为指标构建了中国产业经济福利核算模型和产业经济福利系数模型。利用1993年以来我国三次产业及典型行业的数据,结合产业层次经济福利数量和产业层次经济福利贡献两个方面,本文对中国产业经济福利水平进行了测度分析。研究发现:我国产业经济发展的福利效应不明显。1993年以来,我国第二、三产业经济福利(绝对数)水平增长很快,但是产业GDP的经济福利贡献水平增长缓慢;产业经济福利水平变动规律,即产业经济福利水平逐步提升,产业福利层次升级是必然趋势。1993-2009年,中国产业经济福利水平第二产业高于第三产业高于第一产业,2010年以后,第三产业高于第二产业高于第一产业,实现产业福利水平层次升级;中国产业产值结构与产业福利结构承继变动规律,产业福利结构先于产值结构变动,对产值结构升级具有引导作用。2010年第三产业福利系数(0.638)超过第二产业(0.626),实现了产业福利结构层次升级。2013年,中国第三产业产值超过第二产业,实现产值结构层次升级。通过对我国产业经济福利的影响因素分析,结合产业福利经济战略选择理论,文章从理论上阐释了产业经济福利水平提升具有显著的经济效应,提出了以“国民福利”为标准,以产业经济福利系数为具体标准,即不单纯立足于GDP贡献,更重要的是立足于国民福利(工资福利,公共税收福利、环境福利)的贡献,进行产业结构调整升级,提升我国产业经济福利水平的战略选择设想。最后本文总结了文章的基本结论,即产业福利系数是研究产业经济福利水平的合理指标;现阶段我国产业经济福利水平有待提升;产业经济福利水平提升具有良好的经济效应;福利系数标准是我国产业结构调整升级的合理选择。提出了文章的政策建议,包括:大力发展高科技产业,加快产业结构调整升级;提高劳动收入份额,增进个人福利;多渠道增加就业岗位,实现就业福利大幅提升;调整税制结构,实现三大产业福利协同增长;更新传统产业生产模式,助推资源环境永续发展等。
[Abstract]:At present, the imbalance of industrial structure has seriously restricted the sustainable development of China's economy in November 10th.2015, general secretary of the CPC Central Committee, the central financial work leading group leader Xi Jinping put forward the "supply side structural reform" at the eleventh meeting of the central financial work leading group. The adjustment of industrial structure is an important aspect of the reform of the supply side to what. Kind of way, what kind of purpose, how to adjust the industrial structure is the core problem in our country at present. The previous research is to promote the growth of GDP as the core or standard to adjust the industrial structure, upgrade the industrial level. However, in the GDP industry growth at the same time, China's people's livelihood and well-being of the growth is not synchronized, lead to economic sustainable development ability of our country is weak, or even into a vicious spiral. The ultimate goal of economic development is to improve people's living standards, improve people's well-being. Therefore, it is necessary to transform the research ideas, in order to improve the welfare level as the starting point and end point, not only based on the contribution of GDP, more important is based on national welfare (wages and welfare, public welfare tax, environmental benefits) the contribution of industry to improve economic welfare standards, China's industrial structure adjustment is a sustainable the path of development, in line with the development of people-oriented concept. Based on the GDP industry foundation, based on the measurement of welfare framework, combined with industrial economic welfare (absolute) to measure and analyze the economic welfare level in the domestic industry in two aspects and industrial economic welfare contributions, through the influence factors of China's industrial economic benefits analysis, economic analysis effect of industrial economic welfare level, find the intrinsic link between the industrial level and economic benefits, finally put forward to promote the welfare as the standard, in the adjustment of industrial structure, and The layout, improve industrial economic welfare level, and enhance the theoretical assumption of social welfare. The industrial economic welfare refers to in a certain period (in years), can use the monetary unit to measure industry of all economic activities directly or indirectly assigned to the interests of expenditure. This paper from the industrial economic welfare connotation based on the definition of economic welfare measurement framework, based on industry actual labor income, industry revenue, industry environmental pollution loss cost, industry personal wages and welfare coefficient, industry public welfare coefficient, industry employment welfare coefficient, industry environmental pollution loss coefficient of construction industry China welfare accounting economic model and industrial economic welfare coefficient the model for the index. Using the data of three industries in China and the typical industry since 1993, with the industry's level of economic welfare quantity and industrial level of economic welfare Two contributions, this paper measure analysis of economic welfare level China industry. It is found that the welfare effects of economic development of our country industry is not obvious.1993 years, the second, third industry of our country economic welfare (absolute) level increased rapidly, but the industry GDP economic welfare contribution level of slow growth; the change of industrial law the economic welfare level, namely industrial and economic welfare level gradually increase the level of industrial upgrading, welfare is the inevitable trend of.1993-2009, China industrial economic welfare level of the second industry is higher than that of the third industry is higher than that of the first industry, since 2010, third higher than the second industry industry is higher than that of the first industry, to achieve the level of industrial welfare level upgrade; Chinese industry structure and industrial structure succession welfare the change of industrial structure changes, welfare before production structure, has a guiding role in the upgrading of the structure of output value of.2010 The three industry welfare coefficient (0.638) more than second industry (0.626), the level of industrial structure upgrading in.2013 China welfare, industrial output value of third more than second industries, to achieve output structure upgrading. The influence factors of China's industrial economic benefits analysis, combined with the economic welfare industry strategic choice theory, this paper theoretically explained has significant economic effects of industrial economic welfare level, put forward to the "national welfare" as the standard, with the industry economic welfare coefficient of specific criteria, is not only based on the contribution of GDP, more important is based on national welfare (wages and welfare, public welfare tax, environmental benefits) the contribution of industrial structure adjustment of upgrade, enhance the strategic choice of ideas of China's industrial and economic welfare level. Finally, this paper summarizes the basic conclusions of the article, namely the industrial welfare coefficient is research on industrial economic welfare Reasonable index level; at the present stage of China's industrial and economic welfare level needs to be improved; has good economic effect and improve the level of industrial economic welfare; welfare coefficient standard is a reasonable choice for China's industrial restructuring and upgrading. Put forward the policy recommendations, including: vigorously develop the high-tech industries, accelerate the adjustment of industrial structure upgrading; improve labor the share of income, improve individual welfare; increase the channels of employment, employment and welfare increase; adjust the tax structure, the three industries to achieve welfare coordinated growth; update the production mode of traditional industry, boost the sustainable development of resources and environment.
【学位授予单位】:辽宁大学
【学位级别】:博士
【学位授予年份】:2016
【分类号】:F121.3
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