碳排放约束目标下的中国省际潜在支出分析

发布时间：2018-04-03 19:53

本文选题：碳排放约束　切入点：碳排放期权　出处：《系统工程》2014年02期

【摘要】：建立以二氧化碳排放权为标的资产的欧式期权模型,根据"十二五"规划提出的约束性目标,以2010年为起点计算初始碳排放量,2015年为到期日计算各省份的碳排放阙值,得到各省份为实现减排要求而产生的可能潜在支出,以中国30个省市自治区的面板数据为样本进行实证研究。研究结果显示,中国为实现既定目标的平均潜在支出较高,不同省份间的潜在支出存在巨大差异;中部地区的潜在支出显著高于东部和西部地区;制定和分解约束目标时,要给纳入低碳试点和碳交易试点的城市发展留足空间。
[Abstract]:A European option model with carbon dioxide emission rights as the underlying asset is established. According to the binding targets set out in the 12th Five-Year Plan, the initial carbon emissions are calculated starting from 2010, and the threshold of carbon emissions of the provinces is calculated by the expiration date of 2015.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces and autonomous regions in China, the potential expenditure of each province in order to achieve the emission reduction requirements is obtained. The empirical study is carried out with the panel data of 30 provinces, cities and autonomous regions.The results show that the average potential expenditure in order to achieve the established goals in China is relatively high, and there are great differences among different provinces; the potential expenditure in the central region is significantly higher than that in the eastern and western regions; when the target is formulated and broken down, the potential expenditure in the central region is significantly higher than that in the eastern and western regions.To include low-carbon pilot and carbon trading pilot cities to leave plenty of space for development.
【作者单位】：南京航空航天大学经济管理学院;南京审计学院;
【基金】：教育部青年基金资助项目(12YJCZH128) 江苏省教育厅高校哲学社会科学研究基金资助项目(2012SJB630040) 江苏省研究生创新工程项目(CXLX11-0219)
【分类号】：F127

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