河南省农业产业结构调整对其经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-04-14 01:02

本文选题：农业产业结构 + 经济增长　；参考：《西安科技大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：农业产业结构调整既是农业现代化建设中的一项长期任务，又是当前农业发展亟待解决的问题，正如党的十八大报告中所指出的：要引导农民调整农业产业结构，多渠道增加农民收入，把解决好“三农”问题作为各项工作的重中之重。河南省地处中原，是一个农业大省，又是全国重要的粮食产区，河南农业的发展状况对全国粮食安全起着非常重要的作用，因此，河南农业产业结构的调整就显得尤为重要。正是基于此，本文从河南省农业产业结构的发展状况入手，根据经济学的相关理论，借助灰色关联度分析法和格兰杰协整分析法，试图从理论和实证两方面分析河南省农业产业结构调整对其经济增长的影响。研究结果显示：第一，河南省农、林、牧、渔各产业增加值与农业总产值的关联程度从大到小依次为：种植业、畜牧业、林业、渔业、农林牧渔服务业，，这说明在河南农业经济中，种植业和畜牧业是主导产业，与经济增长的联系最为密切；第二，格兰杰协整分析结果表明：无论是长期还是短期，河南省农、林、牧、渔各产业与经济增长都保持着正向的变动关系，虽然长、短期各产业对经济增长的弹性各不相同，但是其对河南经济增长的促进作用是显而易见的。河南省农业产业结构的调整，种植业、畜牧业、林业、渔业的优化，能够有效地促进经济增长。在此基础上，本文又分析了河南省农业产业结构中存在的问题，并针对这些问题探讨了河南省农业产业结构调整的途径，提出了相关建议，希望能够为河南经济的持续发展提供一些有价值的参考。
[Abstract]:The adjustment of agricultural industrial structure is not only a long-term task in the construction of agricultural modernization, but also a problem to be solved urgently in the current agricultural development. As pointed out in the report of the 18th National Congress of the Party, it is necessary to guide farmers to adjust the agricultural industrial structure.Multi-channels to increase farmers' income, to solve the "three rural" problem as the top priority of the work.Henan Province is located in the Central Plains, which is a big agricultural province and an important grain producing area in the whole country. The development of Henan agriculture plays a very important role in the national food security. Therefore, the adjustment of Henan's agricultural industrial structure is particularly important.Based on this, this paper starts with the development of agricultural industrial structure in Henan Province, according to the relevant theory of economics, with the help of grey correlation degree analysis and Granger cointegration analysis.This paper attempts to analyze the influence of the adjustment of agricultural industrial structure on the economic growth of Henan Province from both theoretical and empirical aspects.The results show that: first, the correlation degree between the value added of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry and the total agricultural output value in Henan Province is: planting, animal husbandry, forestry, fishery, agriculture, forestry and fishery services.This shows that in Henan's agricultural economy, planting and animal husbandry are the leading industries, which are most closely related to economic growth. Second, Granger co-integration analysis results show that, whether in the long term or in the short term, agriculture, forestry, and animal husbandry in Henan Province,The relationship between fishery industry and economic growth is positive. Although the elasticity of each industry to economic growth is different in long and short term, its promoting effect on Henan economic growth is obvious.The adjustment of agricultural structure, the optimization of planting, animal husbandry, forestry and fishery can effectively promote economic growth.On the basis of this, the paper analyzes the problems existing in the agricultural industrial structure of Henan Province, discusses the ways to adjust the agricultural industrial structure of Henan Province, and puts forward some relevant suggestions.Hope to provide some valuable reference for the sustainable development of Henan economy.
【学位授予单位】：西安科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F327

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