辽宁省经济可持续发展能力评价与对策研究

发布时间：2018-04-19 15:08

本文选题：经济可持续发展 + 综合评价　；参考：《东北师范大学》2013年博士论文

【摘要】：2003年中央确定实施东北老工业基地的振兴战略后，一系列政策陆续出台，为辽宁老工业基地的振兴提供了难得的机遇，经过各方的共同努力，辽宁省的全面振兴取得了阶段性的重大成果。然而，在辽宁老工业基地实现全面振兴的过程中，固有的体制制约和历史包袱、特有的经济结构和产业布局，造成了辽宁省的经济可持续发展存在一系列困难和问题。主要表现为：一是产业结构不合理，传统产业亟需改造升级，高新技术产业和新兴产业未能起到主导和带动作用；二是大型国有工业企业市场竞争力和生产效率低，产品结构老化，经济效益不高；三是后备资源不足，面临资源枯竭的威胁；四是环境与生态的脆弱性，难以支撑可持续发展；五是大批企业职工下岗待业，人口与就业压力十分严峻。这些问题是在辽宁省经济发展过程中需要付出长期努力重点解决的问题。就深层次目标而言，辽宁老工业基地振兴就是要追求在资源、环境、人口等要素良性循环基础上的经济社会的快速、协调发展。在新形势下，对辽宁省经济可持续发展能力进行系统评价，诊断现阶段发展的态势及问题，揭示未来发展的方向、特征并提出新的对策与思路，是应对日趋激烈的国内区域竞争的必然选择，是推进辽宁等老工业基地全面振兴进入新阶段的客观要求。本文以区域经济可持续发展及其能力为理论依据，构建了突显辽宁老工业基地特色的经济可持续发展能力评价指标体系，，进行现状评价和未来走势预测，筛选出了有利于经济可持续发展的重化工关键行业，从宏观形势与关键产业两个方面提出了对策建议。论文共分为七章：第一章为绪论。论述了本文的研究背景与研究意义，对可持续发展的研究从思想、实践、评价体系、重化工业四个方面进行了综述，并概述了本文的研究目标、研究内容、研究方法和创新点。第二章为研究的相关基础理论。首先对本文涉及的主要研究对象的定义及内涵进行了概述，并以此为基础定义了老工业基地经济可持续发展及其能力的概念与内涵。综述了区域经济、可持续发展的相关基本理论。第三章从总体上把握辽宁省经济可持续发展的现实状况，从宏观层面理解所要研究的问题。主要从规模速度、运行效益、产业与需求结构三个方面分析了辽宁省经济运行的质量现状；从资源、环境、社会、人口、科技等方面分析了辽宁省经济可持续发展外围环境发展现状；对辽宁省经济可持续发展的现状进行了SWOT分析。第四章为辽宁省经济可持续发展能力评价指标体系构建。构建了突显辽宁老工业基地特色的经济可持续发展能力评价指标体系并对评价指标构成进行了系统的描述。第五章为辽宁省经济可持续发展能力综合评价。利用线性综合指数法对经济可持续发展能力进行综合评价；系统分析了各子系统的可持续发展能力及其与经济可持续发展综合能力的关联性；采用频谱分析法对走势进行了预测和分析。第六章为辽宁省重化工业可持续发展路径分析。在论述有利于区域经济可持续发展的产业特征的基础上，从经济贡献度、资源消耗、产业集中度三个方面进行分析，对重化工行业的综合贡献值进行排名，筛选出有利于经济可持续发展的重化工关键产业，并对关键产业的可持续发展能力进行了测算和结果分析。第七章为结论与对策。通过上述论证，从宏观形势和关键产业两个方面得出结论并给出相应的对策与思路。
[Abstract]:In 2003, after the central government decided to implement the Revitalization Strategy of the old industrial base in Northeast China, a series of policies were introduced in succession, which provided a rare opportunity for the revitalization of the old industrial base in Liaoning. Through the joint efforts of all parties, the comprehensive revitalization of Liaoning has achieved significant stage results. However, in the process of the comprehensive revitalization of the old industrial base in Liaoning, The inherent institutional constraints and historical burden, the unique economic structure and industrial layout have caused a series of difficulties and problems in the sustainable economic development of Liaoning province. The main manifestations are as follows: first, the industrial structure is unreasonable, the traditional industry needs to be upgraded, the new and new industry and the new industry have not played a leading and driving role; two The market competitiveness and production efficiency of large state-owned industrial enterprises are low, the product structure is aging and the economic benefit is not high; three is the shortage of reserve resources and the threat of resource exhaustion; four is the vulnerability of the environment and ecology, and it is difficult to support the sustainable development; five is a large number of enterprise workers and workers unemployed, and the pressure of population and employment is very severe. These questions are very severe. The problem is to focus on the long-term efforts in the process of Liaoning's economic development.
As far as the deep level target is concerned, the revitalization of the old industrial base in Liaoning is to pursue the rapid and coordinated development of economic society on the basis of the virtuous cycle of resources, environment and population. In the new situation, it makes a systematic evaluation on the sustainable development ability of Liaoning's economy, diagnoses the situation and problems of the development at the present stage, and reveals the direction of the future development. It is an inevitable choice to cope with the increasingly fierce domestic regional competition, and is the objective requirement to promote the comprehensive revitalization of the old industrial bases and other industrial bases in Liaoning to enter a new stage.
Based on the sustainable development of regional economy and its ability as the theoretical basis, the evaluation index system of economic sustainable development capability, which highlights the characteristics of the old industrial base in Liaoning, is constructed, the status evaluation and the future trend forecast are carried out, and the key industries of heavy chemical industry which are beneficial to the sustainable development of the economy are screened out, from the macro situation and the key industries two. The paper is divided into seven chapters:
The first chapter is the introduction. It discusses the research background and significance of this paper. It summarizes the four aspects of the research on sustainable development from thought, practice, evaluation system and heavy industry, and summarizes the research objectives, research contents, research methods and innovation points of this paper.
The second chapter is the basic theory of the research. Firstly, the definition and connotation of the main research objects are summarized, and the concept and connotation of the sustainable development of the old industrial base and its ability are defined, and the basic theories of regional economy and sustainable development are summarized.
The third chapter grasps the actual situation of the sustainable economic development of Liaoning province in general, and understands the problems to be studied from the macro level. It mainly analyzes the quality status of the economic operation in Liaoning province from three aspects of scale speed, operation benefit, industry and demand structure, and analyzes the Liaoning province from the aspects of resources, environment, society, population and science and technology. The present situation of the peripheral environment of sustainable development is analyzed, and the present situation of the sustainable development of Liaoning's economy is analyzed by SWOT.
The fourth chapter is to construct the evaluation index system of Liaoning's economic sustainable development capability. The evaluation index system of economic sustainable development capability which highlights the characteristics of the old industrial base in Liaoning is constructed and the composition of the evaluation index is systematically described.
The fifth chapter is the comprehensive evaluation of the sustainable development capacity of Liaoning province. The comprehensive evaluation of the sustainable development capacity of the economy is made by using the linear comprehensive index method. The sustainable development ability of each subsystem and its relevance to the comprehensive ability of economic sustainable development are analyzed systematically, and the trend is predicted and divided by the spectrum analysis method. Analysis.
The sixth chapter is the analysis of the sustainable development path of the heavy chemical industry in Liaoning province. On the basis of discussing the industrial characteristics that are beneficial to the sustainable development of the regional economy, this paper analyzes the three aspects of the economic contribution, the resource consumption and the industrial concentration, and ranks the comprehensive contribution value of the heavy chemical industry to screen out the sustainable economic development. The key industries of heavy chemical industry were calculated and the ability of sustainable development of key industries was calculated and analyzed.
The seventh chapter is the conclusion and countermeasures. Through the above arguments, we draw the conclusion from two aspects: the macro situation and key industries, and give the corresponding countermeasures and ideas.

【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127

【参考文献】