经济转型背景下我国OFDI与产业结构优化互动关系研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析

发布时间：2018-05-13 06:35

本文选题：VAR模型 + 对外直接投资　；参考：《经济问题探索》2014年11期

【摘要】：对外直接投资是一国融入世界经济、参与全球产业链分工的重要途径之一。近些年来特别是"入世"以来,我国与世界市场的联系越来越密切,对外直接投资迅猛发展,逐步由对外直接投资大国向对外直接投资强国过渡,这在一定程度上为我国进行产业结构优化和国内经济转型提供了一个有利的外部环境。本文选取1981-2012年我国对外直接投资存量及产业结构优化指标的相关数据,构建了VAR模型,并且采用脉冲响应、方差分解和Granger检验等方法实证分析了我国对外直接投资与产业结构优化的互动关系,结果显示,我国对外直接投资与产业结构优化之间存在着长期均衡关系,并且在短期内两者呈现出相互促进的发展态势。
[Abstract]:Foreign direct investment (OFDI) is one of the important ways for a country to integrate into the world economy and participate in the division of labor in the global industrial chain. In recent years, especially since China's entry into WTO, the relationship between China and the world market has become more and more close. The rapid development of foreign direct investment (FDI) has gradually changed from a large country of foreign direct investment to a powerful country of foreign direct investment. To a certain extent, it provides a favorable external environment for China's industrial structure optimization and domestic economic transformation. This paper selects the relevant data of the stock of FDI and the industrial structure optimization index from 1981 to 2012, constructs the VAR model, and adopts the impulse response. The empirical analysis of the interaction between FDI and industrial structure optimization by variance decomposition and Granger test shows that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between FDI and industrial structure optimization. And in the short term, the two show a mutually promoting trend of development.
【作者单位】：吉林师范大学;首都经济贸易大学;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目《中国对外直接投资逆向技术溢出效应对技术进步影响程度与政策仿真研究》(13YJA790066),主持人刘宏北京市哲学社会科学规划一般项目《北京OFDI逆向技术溢出效应对全要素生产率影响程度与政策仿真研究》(12JGB020),主持人刘宏四平市科技发展计划项目《对比试验中数据分析与统计软件实现方法及应用》(2011007),主持人滕飞首都经济贸易大学研究生科技创新资助项目(CUEB2014-026),主持人苏杰芹
【分类号】：F832.6;F121.3;F224

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