FDI对山东省经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-05-18 04:02

本文选题：外商直接投资 + 经济增长　；参考：《扬州大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,中国正逐渐与世界金融体系接轨,外商直接投资(FDI)已经成为支持我国经济增长的一个重要因素。2005年,山东省成为吸引外资第三的省份。尽管山东省的外商直接投资规模不断扩大,然而大部分FDI集中在山东省东部沿海发达地区,约占总额的80%左右,而其它地区仅占20%左右。这种分布的不均衡必然会加剧山东省经济增长的不平衡,更导致我国经济整体发展的不均衡。因此,非常有必要实证研究外商直接投资对山东省经济增长的影响：一方面,可以补充现有研究,发展FDI对区域经济增长的理论研究;另一方面,可以总结山东省过去利用外资的经验,有利于对未来利用外资策略的探索。科学的引导外商直接投资流向和投资类型,实现区域经济协调发展。从外商直接投资与山东省经济增长的现状出发,以Cobb-Douglas生产函数为基础,构造以FDI、国内资本、劳动力、人力资本、进口、出口为自变量的多元线性函数,通过ADF检验、协整检验、Granger因果检验,运用时间序列模型分析FDI对山东省经济增长的影响,其次再利用Panel-Data数据模型分析FDI对山东省东、中、西部不同区域经济增长的贡献大小。实证分析中采用山东省各市的面板数据来分析FDI对三大区域的经济增长效应,克服了单纯的时间序列数据不能反映个体差异和截面数据不能反映时间变化差异的缺点。根据实证分析得出主要结论：第一,FDI和国内投资都是山东省经济增长的重要因素,并且国内投资对山东省的经济增长的作用比FDI更加突出。第二,劳动力、人力资本、进口、出口依然是促进山东省区域经济增长的重要力量。第三,FDI在一定程度上促进了山东省经济增长,其贡献大小由东到西逐渐减小,并且FDI的不平衡是导致山东省区域经济差距不断扩大的重要原因。最后,为促进山东省经济增长以及缩小山东省东、中、西部的区域差距,根据实证结果提出相应的政策建议：第一,处理好内资与外资的关系。转变招商引资理念和模式,逐步对外资企业实行国民待遇。第二,优化区域间投资环境,促进区域协调发展。突出地区优势,积极引导FDI由东部沿海地区向中、西部地区转移。第三,优化投资结构,提高外资质量。拓宽领域和渠道,着力提高外资的质量和水平。第四,加快中西部地区人力资本开发。结合当地资源优势和人力资本优势,吸引外商投资。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China is gradually in line with the world financial system, foreign direct investment (FDI) has become an important factor to support China's economic growth. In 2005, Shandong Province became the third province to attract foreign capital. Although the scale of foreign direct investment in Shandong Province is expanding, most of FDI is concentrated in the developed areas of east coast of Shandong Province, accounting for about 80% of the total amount, but only about 20% in other regions. The imbalance of distribution will inevitably aggravate the imbalance of economic growth in Shandong Province and lead to the imbalance of the overall economic development of our country. Therefore, it is necessary to empirically study the impact of foreign direct investment on the economic growth of Shandong Province. On the one hand, it can supplement the existing research and develop the theoretical research of FDI on regional economic growth; on the other hand, It is helpful to explore the strategy of utilizing foreign capital in the future by summing up the experience of using foreign capital in Shandong province. Scientific guidance of foreign direct investment flows and types of investment to achieve coordinated development of regional economy. Starting from the current situation of foreign direct investment and economic growth in Shandong Province, based on the production function of Cobb-Douglas, this paper constructs a multivariate linear function based on FDI, domestic capital, labor force, human capital, import and export as independent variable, and passes the ADF test. Cointegration test and Granger causality test are used to analyze the impact of FDI on economic growth in Shandong Province by using time series model, and then the contribution of FDI to economic growth in different regions of Shandong Province is analyzed by using Panel-Data data model. In the empirical analysis, the panel data of each city of Shandong Province is used to analyze the economic growth effect of FDI on the three regions, which overcomes the shortcoming that the simple time series data can not reflect the individual difference and the cross-section data can not reflect the time variation. According to the empirical analysis, the main conclusions are as follows: first, both FDI and domestic investment are important factors of Shandong's economic growth, and the role of domestic investment in Shandong's economic growth is more prominent than that of FDI. Second, labor, human capital, imports and exports are still important forces to promote regional economic growth in Shandong Province. Third, FDI promotes Shandong's economic growth to a certain extent, and its contribution decreases gradually from east to west, and the imbalance of FDI is the important reason for the widening of regional economic gap in Shandong Province. Finally, in order to promote the economic growth of Shandong Province and narrow the regional gap between east, middle and west of Shandong Province, the corresponding policy suggestions are put forward according to the empirical results: first, deal with the relationship between domestic capital and foreign capital. Change the concept and mode of attracting foreign investment and gradually implement national treatment to foreign-funded enterprises. Second, optimize the inter-regional investment environment and promote regional coordinated development. Highlight regional advantages, and actively guide the transfer of FDI from the eastern coastal areas to the central and western regions. Third, optimize the investment structure and improve the quality of foreign investment. Expand fields and channels and strive to improve the quality and level of foreign investment. Fourth, speed up the development of human capital in the central and western regions. Combine the advantages of local resources and human capital to attract foreign investment.
【学位授予单位】：扬州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127

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