就业结构、经济趋同与收入分配差距研究:基于中国三大区域省际面板数据的实证分析
发布时间:2018-05-18 05:14
本文选题:就业结构 + 经济趋同 ; 参考:《西南交通大学》2013年硕士论文
【摘要】:经济增长方式的转变和经济结构调整是当前中国经济发展快速转型时期的两个重要目标;关注一国经济的经济增长不仅要关注增长的源泉更要关注增长的结果;就业结构变迁既是考察一国经济结构调整的重要评价指标也是产业结构调整的必然结果,收入分配状况是衡量经济增长结果的重要因素。区域层面的就业结构和收入分配差距演变更能体现拥有有不同要素禀赋和发展阶段的地区的动态发展规律;论文通过对我国三大区域“十五”和“十一五”时期的就业结构和收入分配差距的动态演变的实证估计和省际经济趋同规律的识别,详尽考察了我国东中西三大区域经济扩张带来的总量效应和结构效应规律,并构造省际面板数据利用广义最小二乘法较为系统的估计了不同区域内部和历史时期内的就业结构、经济趋同和收入分配差距之间的相关关系,研究结果发现: (1)自2000年来,不论是全国层面还是东中西三大区域内部,就业结构都朝着高度化方向动态调整:东部地区的就业结构变迁来自于产业结构调整或人力资本量结构等结构性调整驱力引致,中西部地区就业结构变迁动力则多来自于经济规模扩张或政策引导下的非结构性驱力所致。 (2)2000-2010年间三大区域省际之间不存在绝对β趋同效应;但却存在三大区域省际条件β趋同(收敛)效应和省际σ趋同效应,同时在东中西三大区域内部分另存在着以政策区划分的俱乐部趋同规律,各地区群体趋同速率分别为:2.1%、0.2%和0.2%。 (3)2000-2010年间我国区域收入分配差距格局演变的主要贡献因素来自于东部内部分异和区际分异两部分,东部内部分异随着东部俱乐部趋同规律将逐渐走向收敛,而区际分异将逐渐成为全国收入分配差距变化的主导因素。 (4)不论是在全国还是在三大区域内部,在考虑经济趋同外生的条件下,就业结构与区域收入分配差距呈现出负相关关系,若不考虑经济趋同的影响,就业结构优化与城乡收入差距呈现出正相关关系。
[Abstract]:The transformation of the mode of economic growth and the adjustment of economic structure are two important goals in the period of rapid economic transformation in China, and the economic growth of a country should be paid attention to not only the source of growth but also the result of growth. The change of employment structure is not only an important evaluation index of a country's economic structure adjustment, but also an inevitable result of industrial structure adjustment. Income distribution is an important factor to measure the result of economic growth. The evolution of employment structure and income distribution gap at the regional level can better reflect the dynamic development law of regions with different factor endowments and stages of development. The paper estimates the dynamic evolution of employment structure and income distribution gap in the period of the Tenth Five-Year Plan and the Eleventh Five-Year Plan in three regions of China, and identifies the laws of economic convergence among provinces. The total and structural effects brought by the economic expansion of the three major regions in the east and west of China are investigated in detail, and the interprovincial panel data are constructed to systematically estimate the employment structure within different regions and in the historical period by using the generalized least square method. The correlation between economic convergence and income distribution gap. (1) since 2000, whether at the national level or within the three major regions of East, West and West, The change of employment structure in eastern China comes from the structural adjustment of industrial structure or human capital structure. The change of employment structure in the central and western regions is mainly caused by the non-structural drive under the guidance of economic scale expansion or policy. From 2000 to 2010, there was no absolute 尾 -convergence effect among the three major provinces, but there was a convergence (convergence) effect and a convergence effect between the three provinces. At the same time, in the three regions of east, west and west, there is also the law of club convergence divided by policy area. The convergence rate of groups in each region is 0.2wt% and 0.2%, respectively. The main contribution factors of the evolution of the regional income distribution gap pattern in China from 2000 to 2010 come from the two parts of eastern internal differentiation and interregional differentiation, and the eastern internal differentiation will gradually converge with the convergence law of eastern clubs. And the regional differentiation will gradually become the main factor of the change of the national income distribution gap. 4) whether in the whole country or within the three major regions, there is a negative correlation between the employment structure and the regional income distribution gap, if the influence of economic convergence is not taken into account, There is a positive correlation between the optimization of employment structure and the income gap between urban and rural areas.
【学位授予单位】:西南交通大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F249.21;F124.7;F124.1
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