转型期中国经济周期波动特征与形成机理分析

发布时间：2018-06-24 08:23

本文选题：转型期 + 经济周期波动　；参考：《云南财经大学学报》2014年01期

【摘要】：转型期中国经济的周期性波动特征明显,前后共经历了五轮经济波动。根据市场经济体制的确立时间和经济周期波动特点,将转型期划分为改革开放探索阶段和改革深化阶段。描述性分析表明,前一阶段经济周期波动的核心特征是高增长与通货膨胀,政府调节经济主要依靠行政手段,调控的重点是如何抑制需求的过度扩张;后一阶段经济波动的核心特征是流动性过剩、有效需求不足与通货紧缩,政府对经济的调节以间接宏观经济政策为主,调控的重点转变为启动内需。经济周期波动特征、政府调控方式和调控重点的演变反映了改革开放以来中国经济结构、宏观经济环境和经济运行机制的变化。
[Abstract]:During the transition period, Chinese economy experienced five rounds of economic fluctuation. According to the characteristics of the establishment time and the fluctuation of the economic cycle of the market economy system, the transitional period is divided into the stage of reform and opening up and the stage of deepening the reform and opening up. The descriptive analysis shows that the core characteristics of the previous economic cycle fluctuations are high growth and inflation, the government mainly depends on administrative measures to regulate the economy, and the focus of regulation is how to restrain the excessive expansion of demand; In the latter stage, the core characteristics of economic fluctuation are excess liquidity, insufficient effective demand and deflation. The government's adjustment of economy is mainly based on indirect macroeconomic policy, and the emphasis of regulation is to start domestic demand. The evolution of economic cycle fluctuation, government regulation and control mode and key points reflect the changes of China's economic structure, macroeconomic environment and economic operation mechanism since the reform and opening up.
【作者单位】：河南大学经济学院;
【基金】：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“转型期中国经济波动与经济稳定政策应对机制研究”(JBK1207023)
【分类号】：F124.8

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