适度经济增长与经济结构调整

发布时间：2018-06-25 09:07

本文选题：经济增长 + 下行　；参考：《内蒙古社会科学(汉文版)》2014年05期

【摘要】：2012年以来,我国GDP增长率出现了回落。这种回落受多方面影响,但从整体上看,它反映了我国产业结构升级和经济结构优化的要求,是有利于我国的长期经济增长和全面建成小康社会的要求的。从总量上看,我国的经济增长虽然在放缓,但如果与世界各国比较,速度并不低,仍然属于较高的经济增长。十八大提出了全面建成小康社会的经济增长目标,从目前情况看,只要我们保持6.73%的经济增长率,就能实现2020年的GDP比2010年翻一番的增长目标。而更重要的问题在于如何在这一增长的基础上更好地实现经济社会的全面发展和可持续发展。同时,适度的经济增长将为地方经济的转型、调整和发展留出更大的空间,这在当前是非常重要的。从结构上看,我国正处于产业结构升级和需求结构优化的关系时期,从产业结构上看,第三产业正在代替第二产业成为经济增长中的主导产业;从最终需求结构上看,三大需求正在进一步优化,我国的经济增长效率是提高的。在这种背景下,政府可以根据实际适度地对宏观经济进行微调和预调,但促进和调节经济增长主要应该依靠市场的力量,没有必要出台大力度的总量刺激政策。
[Abstract]:Since 2012, our country GDP growth rate appeared to fall back. This fall is affected by many aspects, but on the whole, it reflects the requirements of upgrading the industrial structure and optimizing the economic structure in our country. It is beneficial to the long-term economic growth of our country and the requirement of building a well-off society in an all-round way. In terms of the total amount, although the economic growth of our country is slowing down, if compared with other countries in the world, the speed is not low, still belongs to the higher economic growth. The 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China put forward the economic growth target of building a well-off society in an all-round way. As long as we maintain the economic growth rate of 6.73%, we can achieve the goal of doubling the GDP growth rate in 2020 compared with 2010. The more important question is how to realize the overall and sustainable development of economy and society on the basis of this growth. At the same time, moderate economic growth will leave more space for the transformation, adjustment and development of local economy, which is very important at present. From the structural point of view, China is in the period of industrial structure upgrading and demand structure optimization. In terms of industrial structure, the tertiary industry is replacing the secondary industry as the leading industry in economic growth, and from the perspective of the final demand structure, the tertiary industry is becoming the leading industry in economic growth. Three major demand is further optimized, China's economic growth efficiency is improved. Under this background, the government can fine-tune and adjust the macro-economy moderately according to the actual situation, but the promotion and adjustment of economic growth should mainly depend on the market forces, and there is no need to issue a large amount of stimulus policy.
【作者单位】：北京大学;北京大学中国国民经济核算与经济增长研究中心;
【分类号】：F121;F124.1

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