中国对东盟直接投资的出口效应——基于引力模型的面板数据研究
发布时间:2018-11-02 18:06
【摘要】:2010年1月1日,中国-东盟自由贸易区正式建成,中国对东盟投资呈现出快速发展的趋势。高速增长的对外直接投资究竟是刺激了我国对东盟的出口,还是由于鼓励了中国对东盟的海外生产,进而抑制了我国的对外出口?如果确定了作用机制是刺激还是抑制,那么刺激或抑制究竟是如何影响、在多大程度上影响我国对东盟的出口呢?本文立足于中国对东盟的出口与直接投资情况,基于2003-2013年间中国对东盟9国出口与对外直接投资的数据,构建了以首都距离、东道国GDP、开放系数、人均GDP、通讯基础设设等为自变量的引力模型,进行了面板回归分析。
[Abstract]:On January 1, 2010, China-ASEAN Free Trade area was formally established, and China's investment in ASEAN showed a trend of rapid development. Does the rapid growth of foreign direct investment stimulate China's exports to ASEAN, or does it encourage China's overseas production to ASEAN, thereby constraining China's foreign exports? If it is determined whether the mechanism of action is stimulus or inhibition, then how and to what extent does stimulus or inhibition affect China's exports to ASEAN? Based on the data of China's exports and foreign direct investment to ASEAN from 2003 to 2013, this paper constructs the opening coefficient of capital distance, host country GDP, and GDP, per capita, based on the data of China's export and foreign direct investment to nine ASEAN countries from 2003 to 2013. In this paper, the panel regression analysis is carried out on the gravitational model of the communication base, which is equal to that of the independent variable.
【作者单位】: 天津商业大学经济学院;
【分类号】:F125
[Abstract]:On January 1, 2010, China-ASEAN Free Trade area was formally established, and China's investment in ASEAN showed a trend of rapid development. Does the rapid growth of foreign direct investment stimulate China's exports to ASEAN, or does it encourage China's overseas production to ASEAN, thereby constraining China's foreign exports? If it is determined whether the mechanism of action is stimulus or inhibition, then how and to what extent does stimulus or inhibition affect China's exports to ASEAN? Based on the data of China's exports and foreign direct investment to ASEAN from 2003 to 2013, this paper constructs the opening coefficient of capital distance, host country GDP, and GDP, per capita, based on the data of China's export and foreign direct investment to nine ASEAN countries from 2003 to 2013. In this paper, the panel regression analysis is carried out on the gravitational model of the communication base, which is equal to that of the independent variable.
【作者单位】: 天津商业大学经济学院;
【分类号】:F125
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