甘肃省基础设施建设与经济增长的实证研究
发布时间：2018-11-11 17:34
【摘要】：基础设施是国民经济整体素质和综合国力的重要体现以及现代化程度的重要标志。基础设施也是推动地区经济增长的一个重要因素。改革开放以来，甘肃经济实现了快速增长，地区生产总值由1978年的64.73亿元增长到2010年的4120.75亿元，，增长了65倍，年均增长率达13.41%。在此过程中，基础设施建设发挥了重要作用。研究甘肃基础设施投资与经济增长的关系，有利于相关部门正确认识本区域的基础设施建设现状，从中找到加快甘肃经济社会发展的办法，实现甘肃经济腾飞的目标。 本文首先对甘肃基础设施现状、存在的问题以及经济发展情况做了简要概述，接着对甘肃基础设施投资与经济增长做了协整分析，通过相关检验得到协整系数为0.8929.然后通过格兰杰因果检验发现，短期内经济增长促进基础设施建设，长期内二者互为因果关系。接着通过建立三要素生产函数模型估计了甘肃基础设施投资的产出弹性，得到的结果为：基础设施投资的产出弹性为0.309，基础设施对经济增长的平均贡献率为43.89%。最后在论证的基础上提出了完善甘肃基础设施建设的相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:Infrastructure is an important embodiment of the overall quality of the national economy and comprehensive national strength, as well as an important symbol of the degree of modernization. Infrastructure is also an important factor in promoting regional economic growth. Since the reform and opening up, Gansu's economy has achieved rapid growth, the regional gross domestic product has increased from 6.473 billion yuan in 1978 to 412.075 billion yuan in 2010, an increase of 65 times, with an average annual growth rate of 13.41 yuan. In this process, infrastructure construction has played an important role. The study of the relationship between infrastructure investment and economic growth in Gansu is helpful for the relevant departments to correctly understand the present situation of infrastructure construction in this region, and to find ways to speed up the economic and social development of Gansu, and to realize the goal of economic take-off in Gansu. In this paper, the present situation, existing problems and economic development of infrastructure in Gansu are briefly summarized, and then co-integration analysis of infrastructure investment and economic growth in Gansu is made, and the cointegration coefficient is 0.8929 through correlation test. Then the Granger causality test shows that economic growth promotes infrastructure construction in the short term and the two are causality in the long run. Then the output elasticity of infrastructure investment in Gansu is estimated by establishing a three-factor production function model. The result is that the output elasticity of infrastructure investment is 0.309 and the average contribution rate of infrastructure to economic growth is 43.89. Finally, on the basis of argumentation, the paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions to improve the infrastructure construction in Gansu.
【学位授予单位】：西北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F281;F127
本文编号：2325623
[Abstract]:Infrastructure is an important embodiment of the overall quality of the national economy and comprehensive national strength, as well as an important symbol of the degree of modernization. Infrastructure is also an important factor in promoting regional economic growth. Since the reform and opening up, Gansu's economy has achieved rapid growth, the regional gross domestic product has increased from 6.473 billion yuan in 1978 to 412.075 billion yuan in 2010, an increase of 65 times, with an average annual growth rate of 13.41 yuan. In this process, infrastructure construction has played an important role. The study of the relationship between infrastructure investment and economic growth in Gansu is helpful for the relevant departments to correctly understand the present situation of infrastructure construction in this region, and to find ways to speed up the economic and social development of Gansu, and to realize the goal of economic take-off in Gansu. In this paper, the present situation, existing problems and economic development of infrastructure in Gansu are briefly summarized, and then co-integration analysis of infrastructure investment and economic growth in Gansu is made, and the cointegration coefficient is 0.8929 through correlation test. Then the Granger causality test shows that economic growth promotes infrastructure construction in the short term and the two are causality in the long run. Then the output elasticity of infrastructure investment in Gansu is estimated by establishing a three-factor production function model. The result is that the output elasticity of infrastructure investment is 0.309 and the average contribution rate of infrastructure to economic growth is 43.89. Finally, on the basis of argumentation, the paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions to improve the infrastructure construction in Gansu.
【学位授予单位】：西北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F281;F127
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