江苏省海洋带经济与环境系统协调发展研究

发布时间：2018-11-12 18:44

【摘要】：基于"压力-状态-响应"框架,采用多元层次分析法,从海洋经济系统敏感性和适应性2个层次建立江苏省海洋带经济与环境系统协调发展评价模型,定量测算2001—2012年江苏省海洋带经济与环境系统协调发展水平及其变化趋势。结果表明:(1)江苏海洋带经济与环境系统协调发展度呈现综合上升趋势;(2)敏感性指数"先升后降再升",但总体上呈现下降趋势,表明加大海洋环境保护、减少陆源污染物排放、加快海洋可再生资源的产业发展都是降低海洋经济与环境系统敏感性的关键举措;(3)适应性指数逐年稳步提升,表明海洋科技进步和海洋管理、业已形成的以海洋支柱产业和主导产业的开放型海洋经济系统能够显著提高海洋经济与环境系统适应性。最后,从加大海洋污染排放控制管理、海洋产业结构升级、海洋经济空间布局等角度,提出有效提高江苏省海洋带经济与环境系统协调发展水平、提高江苏海洋带经济可持续健康发展的对策和措施。
[Abstract]:Based on the framework of "pressure-state-response", an evaluation model for the coordinated development of marine economic and environmental systems in Jiangsu Province was established from the two levels of sensitivity and adaptability of marine economic system by using multivariate analytic hierarchy process (AHP). From 2001 to 2012, the coordinated development level of economic and environmental systems in Jiangsu Province's marine belt and its changing trend were quantitatively estimated. The results are as follows: (1) the degree of coordinated development of economic and environmental systems in Jiangsu marine belt shows a comprehensive upward trend; (2) the sensitivity index increased first and then decreased and then increased, but generally showed a downward trend, which indicated that the marine environmental protection should be strengthened and the emissions of land-based pollutants should be reduced. Accelerating the industrial development of marine renewable resources is a key measure to reduce the sensitivity of marine economic and environmental systems. (3) the adaptability index is rising steadily year by year, which indicates that the marine science and technology progress and the ocean management, the open marine economy system which has been formed with the ocean pillar industry and the leading industry can obviously improve the adaptability of the marine economy and the environment system. Finally, from the point of view of increasing the management of marine pollution emission control, upgrading the marine industrial structure, and the spatial layout of marine economy, the paper puts forward an effective way to improve the coordinated development level between the economic and environmental systems of the marine belt in Jiangsu Province. Countermeasures and measures to improve the sustainable and healthy economic development of Jiangsu marine zone.
【作者单位】：淮海工学院商学院;中国人民大学商学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(编号:11AJY001) 江苏省社会科学基金(编号:11EYC020) 江苏高校优势学科建设工程江苏省2010年度高校“青蓝工程”
【分类号】：X22;F124

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