山东省区域碳排放实证分析与协调发展研究

发布时间：2018-11-24 16:33

【摘要】：国家统计局于2013年1月19号发布最新数据，我国2012年GDP为519322亿元，按可比价格计算，比2011年增长7.8%。网易财经通过对国内百名经济学家和企业家的调查，发布2013年世界与中国经济走势预测报告。该报告发现67%的受访者认为2013年中国GDP增速有望维持在7%~8%的水平。可以肯定的是，至少在未来几年内我国仍将保持经济的高速增长。与此同时，我国的二氧化碳排放量也在急剧增加。据全球低碳城市联合研究中心测算，“2010年我国温室气体排放量已经超过美国，成为世界第一排放大国。”其实，，由于温室气体的大量排放而引起的全球性气候问题早己为国际社会所普遍关注，各国也纷纷着手应对气候问题。在2009年的哥本哈根会议上，我国明确做出承诺：“到2020年中国的碳排放强度要比2005年下降40%~45%”。我国人口世界第一、能源结构以煤炭为主，并且正处于经济高速发展阶段，CO2排放也急剧增加增长，因此减排压力很大。为了能够顺利实现所做出的减排承诺，必须调动各省的积极性，合理分配减排指标。在此背景下，对如何实现减排承诺进行研究，无疑具有重要的现实意义和指导意义。本文以山东省为对象，研究其实现节能减排的路径和对策。作为国内重要的能源和工业基地，山东省在煤炭、石油以及金属矿产等资源方面，有着得天独厚的绝对优势。然而，工业结构偏向重工业化，传统的能耗产业在经济中所占比重较大，能源消费总量大，所有这些使得环境压力大、节能减排任务重已经逐渐成为制约山东省经济社会可持续发展的重要瓶颈。本文首先阐述了对山东省碳排放进行研究分析的必要性，并从已有的研究成果出发，探求发展低碳经济、实现节能减排的可行性和路径。利用省级数据分析山东省节能减排现状，分别从经济、社会发展、能源发展、二氧化碳排放等角度对山东省的的低碳经济发展情况进行了分析，并得出相应的结论，在立足现状的基础上，给出了相应的发展对策，构建了山东省发展低碳经济的体系结构。
[Abstract]:China's GDP in 2012 was 51.9322 trillion yuan, up 7.8 percent from 2011 at comparable prices, the National Bureau of Statistics released the latest data on January 19, 2013. NetEase's 2013 forecast for the world and China's economy is based on a survey of 100 domestic economists and entrepreneurs. The report found that 67 percent of respondents believed that China's GDP growth rate was expected to stay at 7% or 8% in 2013. To be sure, at least in the next few years, our economy will continue to grow at a high speed. At the same time, China's carbon dioxide emissions are also increasing sharply. According to the Global low carbon cities Joint Research Center, "China's greenhouse gas emissions have surpassed the United States in 2010, becoming the world's largest emitter." In fact, the global climate problem caused by a large amount of greenhouse gas emissions has long been concerned by the international community, and many countries have begun to deal with the climate problem. In Copenhagen in 2009, China made a clear commitment: "by 2020, China's carbon intensity will be 40 percent lower than in 2005." China has the largest population in the world, the energy structure is mainly coal, and is in the stage of rapid economic development, CO2 emissions are also increasing rapidly, so the pressure of emission reduction is great. In order to realize the emission reduction commitment smoothly, we must mobilize the enthusiasm of the provinces and allocate the emission reduction targets reasonably. Under this background, the research on how to realize the emission reduction commitment is undoubtedly of great practical significance and guiding significance. In this paper, Shandong Province as an object, the realization of energy conservation and emission reduction path and countermeasures. As an important domestic energy and industrial base, Shandong Province has unique advantages in coal, petroleum and metal mineral resources. However, the industrial structure tends to be heavy industrialized, the traditional energy consumption industry accounts for a large proportion of the economy, and the total amount of energy consumption is large, all of which make the environment under great pressure. The task of energy saving and emission reduction has gradually become an important bottleneck restricting the sustainable development of economy and society in Shandong Province. In this paper, the necessity of research and analysis on carbon emission in Shandong Province is first expounded, and the feasibility and path of developing low carbon economy and realizing energy saving and emission reduction are explored from the existing research results. Using provincial data to analyze the current situation of energy saving and emission reduction in Shandong Province, the development of low-carbon economy in Shandong Province is analyzed from the perspectives of economy, social development, energy development and carbon dioxide emissions, respectively, and the corresponding conclusions are drawn. Based on the present situation, the corresponding development countermeasures are given, and the system structure of developing low carbon economy in Shandong Province is constructed.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F205

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