社会风险与经济发展关系研究
发布时间：2018-12-17 12:14
【摘要】：社会风险与经济发展之间存在内在的联系。在一国现代化过程中，经济发展一方面具有降低社会风险的积极因素，另一方面也有放大社会风险的消极因素。一国的经济发展最终倾向于促进社会稳定还是增加社会风险取决于多方面的因素，，比如经济增长的速度、经济增长的稳定性、经济发展阶段、经济发展的均衡性等。本文在国内外已有研究的基础上，分析了我国社会风险与经济发展之间的联系，分析了改革开放以来我国社会风险的变动特征。本文运用计量经济模型对我国1984年--2010年间的相关数据进行的多元回归分析表明，我国的社会风险大小与经济增长率、经济增长稳定性成负相关性关系，与经济发展水平之间存在倒“U”型关系；区域间经济发展不平衡已经成为影响我国社会风险的重要因素。国际或地区经济危机也会影响我国的社会风险，但这种影响并不显著，影响我国社会风险的经济因素主要来自国内，而不是国外。
[Abstract]:There is an inherent relationship between social risk and economic development. In the process of modernization of a country, economic development has both positive factors to reduce social risks and negative factors to amplify social risks. The final tendency of a country's economic development to promote social stability or increase social risks depends on various factors, such as the speed of economic growth, the stability of economic growth, the stage of economic development, the equilibrium of economic development, etc. On the basis of existing studies at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the relationship between social risks and economic development in China, and analyzes the changing characteristics of social risks in China since the reform and opening up. In this paper, we use the econometric model to analyze the relevant data from 1984 to 2010 in China. The results show that there is a negative correlation between the social risk and the economic growth rate and the stability of economic growth. There is an inverted "U" type relationship with the level of economic development; The imbalance of regional economic development has become an important factor affecting social risks in China. The international or regional economic crisis will also affect the social risk of our country, but this influence is not significant. The economic factors that affect the social risk of our country mainly come from domestic, not from abroad.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124;F224
[Abstract]:There is an inherent relationship between social risk and economic development. In the process of modernization of a country, economic development has both positive factors to reduce social risks and negative factors to amplify social risks. The final tendency of a country's economic development to promote social stability or increase social risks depends on various factors, such as the speed of economic growth, the stability of economic growth, the stage of economic development, the equilibrium of economic development, etc. On the basis of existing studies at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the relationship between social risks and economic development in China, and analyzes the changing characteristics of social risks in China since the reform and opening up. In this paper, we use the econometric model to analyze the relevant data from 1984 to 2010 in China. The results show that there is a negative correlation between the social risk and the economic growth rate and the stability of economic growth. There is an inverted "U" type relationship with the level of economic development; The imbalance of regional economic development has become an important factor affecting social risks in China. The international or regional economic crisis will also affect the social risk of our country, but this influence is not significant. The economic factors that affect the social risk of our country mainly come from domestic, not from abroad.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124;F224
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