劳动力流动与第三产业发展的关系研究

发布时间：2018-12-28 11:59

【摘要】：经济学最核心的问题是经济发展问题，大部分经济学家对经济学进行研究的目的也就是富国强民，解决经济发展问题。根据索罗模型的分析，在经济发展中劳动力起到了非常关键的作用，而与劳动力密切相关的就是第三产业。所以，本文综合分析经济增长理论，试图从中找寻劳动力流动与第三产业发展的相互作用关系，并以此来分析中国第三产业发展的现状，了解什么因素影响着中国第三产业的发展，了解什么因素决定了劳动力流动，摸索出中国未来可持续发展路径。劳动力流动会影响各地区第三产业的发展，，而各地区第三产业的发展也会促进劳动力在各地区之间的流动。本文采取理论结合实践的方式，根据新经济地理学理论构建劳动力流动与第三产业发展的联立方程，系统分析了2006~2009年中国各省市劳动力流动与第三产业发展的影响因素及两者之间的内生性关系。本文首先对劳动力流动与第三产业发展的相关理论与文献进行梳理，从而发现了劳动力流动与第三产业发展的内生性，两者相互影响、相互作用。之后，对劳动力流动与第三产业发展进行了现状分析，初步验证了二者的相互作用关系。最后构建联立方程模型，通过实证分析以探讨劳动力流动与第三产业发展的作用关系。通过求解联立方程模型，对实证结果进行分析发现，吸引劳动力流入的因素有经济收入、经济开放程度与第三产业发展情况；经济不断发展，农村净收入得到提高，各区域之间的收入差距也逐渐缩小，对于劳动力流动性而言，其也逐渐降低；劳动力、资本投入与市场因素有利于第三产业发展，但是第三产业发展却受到了太多的政策管制，同时城市化的策略在不同地区的作用影响不一样；劳动力流动与第三产业发展有相互联系、相互作用关系，进而导致劳动力在东部的聚集效应和在中西部的分散效应。
[Abstract]:The core problem of economics is the problem of economic development. The purpose of most economists to study economics is to enrich the country and strengthen the people to solve the problem of economic development. According to the analysis of Solow model, labor force plays a very important role in economic development, and the third industry is closely related to labor force. Therefore, this paper comprehensively analyzes the theory of economic growth, tries to find out the interaction between labor force flow and the development of the tertiary industry, and then analyzes the current situation of the development of the third industry in China. To understand what factors affect the development of China's tertiary industry, to understand what factors determine the flow of labor force, to explore the path of sustainable development of China in the future. Labor mobility will affect the development of tertiary industry in different regions, and the development of tertiary industry in different regions will also promote the mobility of labor force in different regions. Based on the theory of new economic geography, this paper constructs the simultaneous equation of labor force flow and the development of tertiary industry by combining theory with practice. This paper systematically analyzes the influencing factors and the endogenous relationship between labor mobility and the development of tertiary industry in various provinces and cities of China from 2006 to 2009. This paper firstly combs the relevant theories and literatures of labor mobility and tertiary industry development, and then finds out the endogenous nature of labor mobility and tertiary industry development, which influence and interact with each other. Then, the paper analyzes the current situation of labor mobility and the development of tertiary industry, and preliminarily verifies the interaction between them. Finally, a simultaneous equation model is constructed to explore the relationship between labor mobility and the development of tertiary industry through empirical analysis. By solving the simultaneous equation model, the empirical results show that the factors that attract labor force inflow are economic income, economic openness and the development of tertiary industry. With the continuous development of economy, the net income of rural areas has been increased, the income gap between regions has gradually narrowed, and for the mobility of labor force, it is also gradually reduced; Labor, capital input and market factors are favorable to the development of tertiary industry, but the development of tertiary industry is subject to too many policy controls, and the role of urbanization strategies in different regions is different; The labor mobility and the development of the tertiary industry are interrelated and interacted, which leads to the agglomeration effect of labor force in the east and the dispersion effect in the central and western regions.
【学位授予单位】：重庆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F249.21;F127;F224

【参考文献】