试论中国宏观调控新常态

发布时间：2019-01-20 21:01

【摘要】：本文概括了宏观调控新常态的九大特征:(1)突出供给思维,应对潜在增速下滑;(2)明确"上限"、"下限"和"底线",完善区间调控;(3)理解经济异质性与增长非均衡,重视结构性调控;(4)"牵手"战略规划与财政货币政策,拓宽宏观调控视野;(5)确立调控新指挥棒,重启地方竞争;(6)考量利益博弈,把握宏观调控政治经济学;(7)关注大国溢出效应,践行负责任宏观政策;(8)尊重"市场决定论",宏观调控不能包打天下;(9)推进"机制化"建设,构筑宏观调控基本遵循。必须指出,宏观调控新常态不是被动适应经济新常态,而是引领新常态的重要抓手;要明确当前宏观调控中,有些是会随着迈向新常态而被修正或淘汰的,有些是与新常态吻合可继续坚持的,还有些是要通过创新趟出一条新路的,这些将构成宏观调控向新常态演进的基本逻辑。
[Abstract]:This paper summarizes the nine characteristics of the new normal of macro-control: (1) highlighting the supply thinking and coping with the decline of potential growth rate; (2) defining the "upper limit", "lower limit" and "bottom line" and perfecting the interval regulation and control; (3) understanding economic heterogeneity and unbalanced growth, attaching importance to structural regulation and control; (4) "holding hands" strategic planning and fiscal and monetary policy, broadening the view of macro-control, (5) establishing new baton of control and restarting local competition; (6) considering the game of interests, grasping the political economy of macro-control; (7) paying attention to the spillover effect of great powers and practicing responsible macro-policies; (8) respecting "market determinism", macro-control can not cover the world; (9) to promote the construction of "institutionalization" and to follow the basic principles of macro-control. It must be pointed out that the new normal of macro-control is not a passive adaptation to the new normal of economy, but an important grasp of leading the new normal. It is necessary to make it clear that some of the current macroeconomic controls will be revised or eliminated as they move towards the new normal, some will continue to be consistent with the new normal, and others will have to find a new path through innovation. These will constitute the basic logic of macro-control to the new normal.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院经济学部;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大招标项目“推动我国经济持续健康发展研究”(13&ZD021);国家社科基金重点项目“快速增长过程中的风险累积与防范”(12AZD052)以及国家社科基金决策咨询点(13JCD005)的资助
【分类号】：F124

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