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2013年俄罗斯战略形势评估

发布时间:2019-02-09 07:51
【摘要】:2013年是国际战略格局加速调整的一年,也是普京重返克里姆林宫后欲使俄罗斯浴火重生、实现经济社会全面发展以及重振大国雄风的一年。然而,这一年俄罗斯经济增长乏力,宏观经济指标欠佳,凸现出经济结构不合理、经济发展缺乏内生动力和可持续性的深层问题。为刺激经济增长,俄罗斯政府采取了一系列措施,但成效不彰。在内政领域,普京为缓和国内政治分歧,对政治体制进行微调,在杜马选举、地方行政长官产生办法问题上有所回摆,并加大了整治政权党和贪腐问题的力度。在对外政策领域,普京借势出击,在推进欧亚一体化建设、乌克兰、叙利亚、伊朗、斯诺登等问题上有所斩获,俄中关系持续深入,俄在亚太地位有所提升,但俄美、俄欧关系进一步恶化。由于俄罗斯总体实力下滑。因此其2013年的外交胜利更多是战术性而非战略性的。金融危机之后,大国综合国力竞争在新能源革命、新工业革命、新军事革命以及国家治理水平等领域全面展开,俄罗斯的战略发展前景究竟如何,值得学术界密切关注。
[Abstract]:The year 2013 is a year of accelerated adjustment of the international strategic pattern, and a year of Putin's return to the Kremlin to revive Russia, achieve comprehensive economic and social development, and revive the power of a great country. However, the lack of economic growth and poor macroeconomic indicators in Russia this year highlights the deep problems of irrational economic structure and lack of endogenous motivation and sustainability of economic development. To stimulate economic growth, the Russian government has taken a series of measures, but the results. In the field of internal affairs, Putin has made minor adjustments to the political system in order to ease domestic political differences. In the Duma election, the method of selecting local administrators has been reversed, and efforts have been stepped up to tackle the party of political power and the problem of corruption. In the field of foreign policy, Putin seized the opportunity to attack and made gains on the issues of promoting Eurasian integration, Ukraine, Syria, Iran, Snowden, etc., Russia-China relations continued to deepen, Russia's position in the Asia-Pacific region was raised, but Russia and the United States, Relations between Russia and Europe have deteriorated further. As Russia's overall strength declines. So its diplomatic victory in 2013 was more tactical than strategic. After the financial crisis, the competition in the new energy revolution, the new industrial revolution, the new military revolution and the level of national governance of the big countries has been carried out in an all-round way. The prospect of Russia's strategic development should be paid close attention to by the academic circles.
【分类号】:F151.2

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