市场化进程中地方政府经济行为模式与产业结构演进

发布时间：2019-03-27 21:18

【摘要】：市场化进程中,地方政府的经济行为模式由分税制改革以前的"市场分割"转变为分税制改革以后的"土地开发"。本文综合采用传统面板计量模型和空间面板杜宾模型研究发现,分税制改革以前,地方政府市场分割的行为模式加剧了地区产业同构。空间面板杜宾模型的回归结果进一步表明,相邻省区的市场分割、贸易壁垒是导致地区产业同构的主要影响因素。虽然市场分割对地区产业专业化的影响总体不显著,但本地市场分割对产业专业化具有正向促进作用,相邻省区市场分割会显著制约本地产业专业化发展;分税制改革以后,地方政府经营土地的行为模式对地区产业同构影响不显著,但对产业专业化发展具有制约作用。模型中考虑到空间因素后发现,地方政府经营土地的行为对本地产业专业化的影响不显著,相邻省区经营土地的政府行为模式却有助于本地产业专业化发展。比较而言,地方政府行为模式的改变对产业结构的负面影响是趋弱的。
[Abstract]:In the process of marketization, the economic behavior mode of local government has changed from "market division" before tax sharing reform to "land development" after tax sharing reform. Using the traditional panel econometric model and the spatial panel Dubin model, this paper finds that before the reform of taxation system, the behavior pattern of local government market segmentation aggravates the regional industrial isomorphism. The regression results of the spatial panel Dubin model further show that the market segmentation of neighboring provinces and trade barriers are the main factors leading to the isomorphism of regional industries. Although the effect of market segmentation on regional industrial specialization is not significant, the local market segmentation has a positive promoting effect on industrial specialization, and the market segmentation of neighboring provinces will significantly restrict the development of local industrial specialization. After the reform of tax sharing system, the behavior mode of local government to manage land has no significant influence on the isomorphism of regional industry, but it can restrict the development of industrial specialization. Considering the spatial factors, it is found that the behavior of land management by local government has no significant effect on the specialization of local industries, but the government behavior mode of land management in neighboring provinces is helpful to the development of specialization of local industries. Comparatively speaking, the negative influence of the change of local government behavior mode on the industrial structure is weaker.
【作者单位】：武汉大学经济与管理学院;江汉大学武汉研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“后金融危机时代中国参与全球经济再平衡的战略与路径研究”(11&ZD008)
【分类号】：D625;F127

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