中国能否成功地实现雁阵式产业升级
发布时间:2019-04-01 10:29
【摘要】:本文基于能力的比较优势理论,在对产业进行重新分类的基础上,对中国地区之间是否已发生雁阵式产业升级,以及能否通过雁阵式产业升级跨越中等收入陷阱进行了探讨。研究发现,无论是利用传统的产业分类方法,还是新的产业分类方法进行分析,中国已经发生了雁阵式产业升级现象,而且进入到了雁阵式产业升级的第二阶段,东部地区在向中西部地区转移产业的同时,其自身的产业升级方向并不十分明晰;通过对地区间比较优势演化的分析,本文还发现,在雁阵式产业升级过程中,中国正面临比较优势陷阱的风险。这些因素都不利于中国通过实施雁阵式产业升级战略,克服中等收入国家可能面临的"比较优势断档"问题,实现区域协调发展。
[Abstract]:Based on the comparative advantage theory of capability and on the basis of reclassifying the industries, this paper discusses whether the echelon-shaped industrial upgrading has taken place in China and whether it can cross the middle-income trap through the upgrading of the geese-array industry. The research finds that, no matter using the traditional industrial classification method or the new industrial classification method to carry on the analysis, China has already occurred the echelon-type industrial upgrading phenomenon, and has entered the second stage of the echelon-like industrial upgrading. While transferring industries to the central and western regions, the industrial upgrading direction of the eastern region is not very clear; Through the analysis of the evolution of comparative advantage among regions, this paper also finds that China is facing the risk of comparative advantage trap in the process of upgrading of geese-array industry. All these factors are not conducive to China's regional coordinated development by implementing echelon-style industrial upgrading strategy and overcoming the "comparative advantage gap" problem that middle-income countries may face.
【作者单位】: 中国社会科学院工业经济研究所;
【基金】:中国社会科学院创新工程项目“工业经济运行监测与风险评估研究”(批准号SKGJX2013-1)
【分类号】:F121.3
[Abstract]:Based on the comparative advantage theory of capability and on the basis of reclassifying the industries, this paper discusses whether the echelon-shaped industrial upgrading has taken place in China and whether it can cross the middle-income trap through the upgrading of the geese-array industry. The research finds that, no matter using the traditional industrial classification method or the new industrial classification method to carry on the analysis, China has already occurred the echelon-type industrial upgrading phenomenon, and has entered the second stage of the echelon-like industrial upgrading. While transferring industries to the central and western regions, the industrial upgrading direction of the eastern region is not very clear; Through the analysis of the evolution of comparative advantage among regions, this paper also finds that China is facing the risk of comparative advantage trap in the process of upgrading of geese-array industry. All these factors are not conducive to China's regional coordinated development by implementing echelon-style industrial upgrading strategy and overcoming the "comparative advantage gap" problem that middle-income countries may face.
【作者单位】: 中国社会科学院工业经济研究所;
【基金】:中国社会科学院创新工程项目“工业经济运行监测与风险评估研究”(批准号SKGJX2013-1)
【分类号】:F121.3
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