城市化与城乡收入——城乡分割制度改革的逻辑与对策

发布时间：2019-05-25 02:35

【摘要】：本文采取了"刘易斯+马克思+斯密"的视角,基于中国城乡分割制度变迁以及城乡移民与城市居民之间劳动分工关系的特征事实,提出理论假说:城乡移民对城乡收入的影响受到城乡制度分割程度的调节。来自1995—2008年中国215个地级市的面板数据实证分析量化了该理论假说:城市收入对城乡移民的弹性受到城乡分割显著的负向调节,农村收入对城乡移民的弹性受到城乡分割显著的正向调节。在低程度的城乡分割区间,城乡移民有利于城市收入而不利于农村收入;在高程度的城乡分割区间,城乡移民有利于农村收入而不利于城市收入;在城乡分割程度居中的区间,城乡移民既有利于城市收入又有利于农村收入。因此,户籍等城乡分割制度无法激励相容地自发破除,改革须依赖于利益中性的顶层设计。
[Abstract]:This paper adopts the perspective of Lewis Marx Smith, based on the changes of urban-rural division system in China and the characteristic facts of the relationship between urban and rural immigrants and urban residents. The theoretical hypothesis is put forward that the influence of urban and rural migrants on urban and rural income is regulated by the degree of institutional division between urban and rural areas. The empirical analysis of panel data from 215 prefecture-level cities in China from 1995 to 2008 quantifies the theoretical hypothesis that the elasticity of urban income to urban and rural migrants is significantly negatively adjusted by the division of urban and rural areas. The elasticity of rural income to urban and rural migrants is significantly adjusted positively by the division of urban and rural areas. In the low degree of urban and rural division interval, urban and rural migrants are beneficial to urban income but not to rural income, in a high degree of urban and rural division interval, urban and rural migrants are beneficial to rural income but not to urban income. In the middle range of urban-rural division, urban and rural migration is beneficial to both urban and rural income. Therefore, the urban and rural division system, such as household registration, can not be solved spontaneously, and the reform must depend on the top-level design of interest neutrality.
【作者单位】：厦门大学经济学院;
【基金】：清华大学农村研究博士论文奖学金(2013—2014年度) 教育部博士研究生学术新人奖(2012) 厦门大学优博培育计划(2011)
【分类号】：F299.2;F124.7

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