南昌市金融发展与经济增长关系的实证研究

发布时间：2019-05-29 07:53

【摘要】：金融是现代市场经济的核心和主要推动力，健全完善的金融体系是经济发展的关键。二者之间究竟存在怎样的作用机制和相互关系一直是学术界研究的热点。国内外学者通过大量的研究，从理论与实证方面对两者的关系进行了细致的分析与探讨。多数研究表明，金融发展和经济增长之间联系密切、相互促进，但也有学者的研究表明两者间的联系不密切，不存在因果互动关系。由于我国经济发展地域之间差异较大，不同地区在市场发育程度和经济金融化程度方面存在很大差距，因此对金融发展与经济增长之间关系研究往往会得出不同的结论。基此，本文的研究将立足于南昌市经济发展的具体情况，借鉴前人的理论与方法，依据理论分析和实证分析相结合的原则，研究探讨南昌市金融发展与经济增长间的关系。通过相关结论的分析指出当前南昌市金融发展和经济增长之间存在的问题，并针对这些问题提出促进南昌经济增长和金融发展协调互动的政策建议。首先，绪论部分主要阐述了本文的选题背景和研究意义，对国内外相关研究进展进行了梳理，在此基础上提出了论文的研究内容及研究方法。其次，论文对金融发展和经济增长的相关概念进行界定，回顾主要的金融发展与经济增长理论，并在此基础上分析了金融发展与经济增长间的作用机制，以便为后文的分析奠定理论基础。第三，从总量和结构两个方面对南昌市经济增长和金融发展现状展开分析，并结合与中部其他省会城市的对比分析，指出南昌市当前金融发展与经济增长过程中存在的问题与不足。第四，在指标选取及数据处理的基础上，运用ADF检验、协整检验、向量误差修正模型和格兰杰因果关系检验等方法，，对南昌市金融发展与经济增长间存在的相互关系及问题进行实证分析。第五，根据南昌市金融发展与经济增长现状问题和实证分析得出的结论，提出促进南昌市金融发展与经济增长协调互动的政策建议。最后，总结本文的主要结论，并对文章的研究进行前景展望。
[Abstract]:Finance is the core and main driving force of modern market economy, and a sound and perfect financial system is the key to economic development. What kind of mechanism and relationship between the two have always been the focus of academic research. Through a large number of studies, scholars at home and abroad have made a detailed analysis and discussion on the relationship between the two from the theoretical and empirical aspects. Most studies show that financial development and economic growth are closely related to each other and promote each other, but some scholars have also shown that the relationship between the two is not close and there is no causal interaction. Because there are great differences between the regions of economic development in China and there are great differences in the degree of market development and economic financialization in different regions, different conclusions are often drawn from the study of the relationship between financial development and economic growth. Therefore, the research of this paper will be based on the specific situation of Nanchang's economic development, draw lessons from the previous theories and methods, according to the principle of the combination of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, study and explore the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Nanchang. Through the analysis of the relevant conclusions, this paper points out the problems existing between the financial development and economic growth in Nanchang City, and puts forward some policy suggestions for promoting the coordinated interaction between economic growth and financial development in Nanchang. First of all, the introduction part mainly expounds the background and significance of this paper, combs the related research progress at home and abroad, and on this basis, puts forward the research content and research methods of the paper. Secondly, the paper defines the related concepts of financial development and economic growth, reviews the main theories of financial development and economic growth, and on this basis, analyzes the mechanism between financial development and economic growth. In order to lay a theoretical foundation for the following analysis. Third, this paper analyzes the present situation of economic growth and financial development of Nanchang City from two aspects of total amount and structure, and combines with the comparative analysis with other provincial capital cities in the middle of China. The problems and shortcomings in the process of financial development and economic growth in Nanchang City are pointed out. Fourth, on the basis of index selection and data processing, ADF test, cointegration test, vector error correction model and Granger causality test are used. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the relationship and problems between financial development and economic growth in Nanchang City. Fifthly, according to the present situation of financial development and economic growth in Nanchang City and the conclusions of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the coordination and interaction between financial development and economic growth in Nanchang City. Finally, the main conclusions of this paper are summarized, and the prospect of the research is prospected.
【学位授予单位】：江西师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F832.7

【参考文献】