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中国的金融管制与经济结构失衡之相关性

发布时间:2021-04-10 12:34
  中国因地制宜,在近30年间取得了举世瞩目的成就。GDP呈16倍的增速发展,超过了德国和日本两国,成为世界第二大经济体。中国的经济增长不仅吸引了各国学者、企业家和决策者的广泛关注,而且还开创了称之为“中国奇迹”的信念。2008年,美国爆发因次贷危机而造成的金融风暴以来,中国应付自如,GDP仍以惊人的速度递增,使其他发展中国家,包括发达国家都望尘莫及。未来的中国有望继续平稳发展,增速尽管会略有放缓,但也将会影响全球经济的低速发展。即便如此,就中国经济增速而言,按业内人士经验,中国离经济硬着陆还没甚远,这样的评论字字公平。尽管如此,中国经济的增长模式使世界的经济危机发生了变化,中国也在不断地调整。媒体披露的所谓“四不”,正如温家宝总理先前所说的:“不稳定”、“不平衡”、“不对等”和“不可持续”。全球消费自爆发经济危机以来一蹶不振,中国阐明立场,国内经济要取得平衡,必须扩大国内消费需求。通过贷款带动增长,投资大行其道,对中国的增长超过出口起到的作用,但对于银行体系的造成(诸如不良贷款有可能居高不下等)的负面作用,这些投资在未来会将会带来什么样的回报结果,恐难令人信服。本文以中国当前对金融财政的... 

【文章来源】:复旦大学上海市 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直属院校

【文章页数】:93 页

【学位级别】:硕士

【文章目录】:
LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF FIGURES
LIST OF DIAGRAMS
中文摘要
ABSTRACT
Introduction
1. China's Growth Model
    1.a. Factor Distortions
        1.a.1. Fiscal Recentralization in 1994 and Growth at Any Cost
    1.b. Lower Household Income
    1.c. Higher Investments, Higher ICOR and Lower Employment Creation
2. Exchange Rate Regime and Impossible Trinity
    2.a. China's Exchange Rate Policy-Historical Developments
    2.b. How Independent is the Chinese Monetary Policy?
3. Banking System, Non-Performing Loans and Financial Repression
    3.a. The Role of the State: The Influence on Decision-Making
    3.b. Non-Performing Loans (NPLs)
    3.c. Financial Repression: The Role of Interest Rates
    3.d. What Raising NPLs Have To Do With Consumption?
4. Econometric Analysis
    4.a. Definition of Financial Repression
    4.b. Baseline Model
    4.c. Financial Repression, Interest Income and Economic Structural Transformation: Empirical Evidence
5 Conclusion and Policy Recommendations
Bibliography
Dedication
Acknowledgment
Vita
EDUCATION
PUBLICATIONS
ACADEMIC EXPERIENCE
FIELDS OF STUDY


【参考文献】:
期刊论文
[1]Cost Distortions and Structural Imbalances in China[J]. Yiping Huang,Bijun Wang~* Professor,China Center for Economic Research,Peking University,Beijing,China. PhD Candidate,China Center for Economic Research,Peking University, Beijing,China..  China & World Economy. 2010(04)
[2]Effectiveness of Capital Controls and Sterilizations in China[J]. *Yongzhong Wang,Associate Research Fellow,Institute of World Economics and Politics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing,China..  China & World Economy. 2010(03)
[3]China’s Excessive Investment[J]. Pingyao Lai Professor,School of International Trade and Economics,University of International Business and Economics,Beijing,China..  China & World Economy. 2008(05)



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