日照港30万吨级原油码头建设项目（二期）施工风险管理

发布时间：2018-03-14 05:13

本文选题：原油码头　切入点：建设项目　出处：《中国海洋大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：日照港地处山东半岛南翼,北邻青岛港,南毗连云港,地处渤海咽喉,是山东东南和江苏北部唯一港口,毗邻日本及朝韩半岛,是我国京沪线以西亚欧大陆桥沿线地带最近的出海口,具有得天独厚的区位优势和建港条件.本文将国内外现有的项目风险管理理论及方法与该项目建设的实际密切结合,对日照港30万吨级原油码头建设项目(二期)进行全面深入的项目风险管理的研究。以项目管理的理论和模型为基础,对所开展的项目可能存在的风险进行分析,从而加强该项目的施工风险管理。论文首先对日照港30万吨级原油码头建设项目(二期)开展过程中潜在的各主要风险进行风险识别,建立项目风险评价指标体系,较全面客观的阐述了项目潜在的各种风险。此后设计了问卷调差表,结合层次分析法和模糊综合评价法两个方法,对项目施工中的风险进行评价并对项目开展风险评估,运用层次分析法构建了该项目风险评价指标体系,通过模糊综合评价法对项目的综合风险进行了推算,从而对日照港30万吨级原油码头建设项目(二期)施工风险水平有了较为准确的评估,该项目的综合风险处于一般风险水平,说明该项目面对的风险对于项目管理人员来讲是可以承担得,具有投资可行性价值。结合评估结果,对项目施工过程可能出现的设计风险、技术类风险、管理类风险、材料风险、政策环境风险和自然风险提出了相应的风险防范和应对措施,为建筑项目施工风险管理的决策者提供建设性的指导意见。
[Abstract]:Rizhao Port is located in the south wing of Shandong Peninsula, Qingdao Port in the north, Lianyungang Port in the south, and the throat of Bohai Sea. Rizhao Port is the only port in the southeast of Shandong and the northern part of Jiangsu Province, adjacent to Japan and the Korean Peninsula. It is the nearest sea outlet along the Eurasian Continental Bridge west of the Beijing-Shanghai Line, with unique location advantages and port construction conditions. This paper closely combines the existing project risk management theories and methods at home and abroad with the actual construction of the project. On the basis of the theory and model of project management, this paper makes a comprehensive and in-depth study on the project risk management of the construction project (phase II) of Rizhao Port's 300,000-ton crude oil terminal. Based on the theory and model of project management, the possible risks of the project are analyzed. In order to strengthen the construction risk management of the project. Firstly, the paper identifies the potential major risks during the construction of Rizhao Port 300,000-ton crude oil terminal (phase II), and establishes the risk evaluation index system of the project. The potential risks of the project are described comprehensively and objectively. After that, a questionnaire adjustment table is designed to evaluate the risk in the construction of the project and to evaluate the risk of the project by combining the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. The risk evaluation index system of the project is constructed by using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and the comprehensive risk of the project is calculated by the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. As a result, the construction risk level of Rizhao Port's 300,000-ton crude oil terminal construction project (phase II) has been accurately assessed, and the comprehensive risk of the project is at the general risk level. It shows that the risks faced by the project can be accepted by the project managers and have investment feasibility value. Combined with the evaluation results, the design risk, the technical risk and the management risk may appear in the construction process of the project. Material risk, policy environment risk and natural risk are put forward, which can provide constructive guidance for construction risk management decision makers.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：U656.1;U655.1

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