船舶交通事故多发水域识别及致因分析研究

发布时间：2018-04-17 23:02

本文选题：事故多发 + 福建辖区　；参考：《集美大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着中国航运事业的快速发展,船舶数量不断增加,船舶交通秩序与航行水域环境愈发复杂,船舶交通事故数量随之日益增长,由此带来了巨大的人员与经济损失。船舶交通事故多发水域作为交通事故密集发生的区域,成为海事主管机关、航运企业关注的热点问题。福建辖区水域是我国东南海域的重要水上交通要道。随着台湾海峡被列入“六区一线”重点监管水域,福建辖区的船舶交通安全问题得到高度关注。为了掌握重点水域的基本交通环境情况及船舶航行风险,保障水上交通安全,本文主要做了以下研究:(1)以福建辖区水域为研究对象,应用统计分析法对福建辖区船舶的航行环境和主要船舶交通事故的特征进行研究分析,总结外在环境因素和船舶交通事故内在因果的关联性;(2)结合船舶交通事故的地理位置信息和事故后果严重程度,应用热点分析、密度聚类等空间聚类方法识别判断福建辖区船舶交通事故易发多发的水域,并通过Arcgis软件和Matlab软件实现聚类识别过程和结果的显示,分析事故多发水域船舶交通事故的特点;(3)应用事故因果连锁理论和粗糙集理论建立船舶交通事故多发水域事故致因分析模型,研究分析事故多发水域的致因因素,总结事故多发水域船舶交通事故易发的原因。通过研究本文划定了福建辖区船舶交通事故多发水域,分析了事故多发水域的主要致因。这将有助于加强事故多发水域的谨慎航行,减少船舶交通事故的发生。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's shipping industry, the number of ships is increasing, the order of ship traffic and the environment of navigation waters are becoming more and more complex, and the number of ship traffic accidents is increasing day by day, which brings huge human and economic losses.As an area with dense traffic accidents, vessel traffic accident prone area has become a hot issue concerned by maritime authorities and shipping enterprises.Fujian's territorial waters are an important waterway in the southeast sea area of China.With the Taiwan Strait being listed as the "six areas" key regulatory waters, the issue of vessel traffic safety in Fujian has been highly concerned.In order to grasp the basic traffic environment and ship navigation risk in key water areas and to ensure the safety of water traffic, this paper mainly does the following research: 1) take the waters under Fujian jurisdiction as the research object.By using statistical analysis method, this paper studies and analyzes the navigation environment and the characteristics of major vessel traffic accidents of ships in Fujian Province.Summing up the relationship between external environmental factors and the inherent causality of ship traffic accidents. (2) combining with the geographical location information of ship traffic accidents and the severity of accident consequences, the application of hot spot analysis is discussed.The spatial clustering method such as density clustering is used to identify and judge the prone areas of marine traffic accidents in Fujian province, and the process and result of clustering identification are displayed by Arcgis and Matlab software.This paper analyzes the characteristics of shipborne traffic accidents in water areas with frequent accidents. (3) applying the theory of causality linkage of accidents and rough set theory to establish a model of cause analysis of accidents in water areas with frequent accidents, and to study and analyze the causes of accidents in water areas with frequent accidents.This paper summarizes the causes of marine traffic accidents in water areas prone to accidents.In this paper, the main causes of accident-prone waters in Fujian province are analyzed.This will help strengthen the careful navigation of accident-prone waters and reduce the occurrence of ship traffic accidents.
【学位授予单位】：集美大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：U698.6

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