基于DEA的高速公路运营效益评价

发布时间：2018-04-26 21:28

本文选题：高速公路 + 运营效益　；参考：《武汉理工大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：自2000年后,我国高速公路开始进入市场化运营还贷高峰期,如何对高速公路进行科学合理的运营管理和投资决策,提高其运营效益,已成为高速公路企业所面临的主要问题之一。高速公路运营效益的评价与研究是高速公路运营管理与投资决策的前提和保障,在目前的研究中,高速公路运营效益评价存在评价指标体系不全面、评价内容多关注历史运营效益、评价方法主观性较强以及评价结论粗糙等问题。本文拟采用数据包络分析法(DEA),从高速公路运营企业的角度,构建全面、客观的高速公路运营效益评价指标体系,对高速公路运营效益进行评价。本文对高速公路运营效益评价现状及存在的问题进行了系统的梳理与分析,总结了不同评价方法存在的优缺点,结合高速公路运营效益评价的特点,选取DEA方法作为本论文的评价方法。DEA方法在评价过程中不必给每个指标设定权重和统一量纲,不需要考虑指标之间的相关性,同时能够根据评价结果找出运营阶段存在的问题,并给出改进的方向和具体程度,克服了传统评价方法的不足与缺陷。然后,从内外两个角度对高速公路运营效益的影响因素进行了深入的分析与研究,结合指标选取原则,从运营组织效率、管理水平、服务水平以及财务效益四个方面构建了高速公路运营效益评价指标体系,对评价指标体系中各级指标的考核内容进行了具体的说明。在对高速公路运营过程中投入与产出要素进行分析的基础上,结合DEA方法的特点,构建了基于DEA的输入与输出指标体系,对评价指标的数据来源进行了详细的说明,其中包括历史数据以及预测数据,并对评价过程进行了具体的设计。在以上研究的基础上,以S高速公路为例,对其运营效益进行了多维度的综合评价与分析,其中包括横向评价分析、纵向评价分析以及未来年评价分析,以把握S高速公路过去及未来的运营发展状况,其中未来年的评价与分析是在高速公路交通量预测的基础上进行的,对高速公路未来的运营与发展有着重要的意义,并在对评价结论进行分析的基础上,提出了具体的改进对策与建议,从而证明了DEA模型的可行性和有效性。
[Abstract]:Since 2000, the expressway of our country began to enter the peak period of market-oriented operation and loan repayment. How to carry on the scientific and reasonable operation management and the investment decision to the expressway, improve its operation benefit, It has become one of the main problems faced by highway enterprises. The evaluation and research of expressway operation benefit is the premise and guarantee of expressway operation management and investment decision. In the present research, the evaluation index system of expressway operation benefit is not comprehensive. The content of evaluation pays more attention to the benefit of historical operation, the subjectivity of evaluation method and the rough conclusion of evaluation and so on. In this paper, data Envelopment Analysis (DEAA) is used to construct a comprehensive and objective evaluation index system of expressway operation benefit from the point of view of expressway operation enterprise, and to evaluate expressway operation benefit. This paper systematically combs and analyzes the present situation and existing problems of expressway operation benefit evaluation, summarizes the advantages and disadvantages of different evaluation methods, and combines the characteristics of expressway operation benefit evaluation. Selecting DEA method as the evaluation method of this paper .DEA method in the evaluation process does not need to set the weight and unified dimension for each index, do not need to consider the correlation between the indicators, at the same time can find out the problems existing in the operation phase according to the evaluation results. The improvement direction and concrete degree are given to overcome the shortcomings and defects of traditional evaluation methods. Then, from the inside and outside two angles to carry on the thorough analysis and the research to the expressway operation benefit influence factor, unifies the index selection principle, from the operation organization efficiency, the management level, This paper constructs the evaluation index system of expressway operation benefit from four aspects of service level and financial benefit, and explains the assessment content of each level index in the evaluation index system. Based on the analysis of input and output factors in expressway operation and the characteristics of DEA method, the input and output index system based on DEA is constructed, and the data source of evaluation index is explained in detail. Including historical data and prediction data, and the evaluation process of the specific design. On the basis of the above research, taking S Expressway as an example, the multi-dimensional comprehensive evaluation and analysis of its operation benefit are carried out, including horizontal evaluation analysis, longitudinal evaluation analysis and future year evaluation analysis. In order to grasp the past and future operation and development of S Expressway, the evaluation and analysis of the future year is carried out on the basis of highway traffic volume prediction, which is of great significance to the future operation and development of Expressway. On the basis of the analysis of the evaluation conclusions, the paper puts forward some concrete countermeasures and suggestions for improvement, which proves the feasibility and validity of the DEA model.
【学位授予单位】：武汉理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F542

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