北极东北航线集装箱班轮航次密度优化研究

发布时间：2018-05-08 06:35

本文选题：北极东北航线 + 帕累托最优　；参考：《大连海事大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：对北极东北航线的自然环境和通航现状进行了介绍,结合美国冰雪数据研究中心的观测结果及北极理事会进行的研究,做出了“北极海冰范围加速缩减,北极航线将实现全线通航并进行商业化运营”的预期。对帕累托最优理论进行了详细阐述,指出帕累托优化配置的实现条件及标准是交换均衡、生产均衡和社会效用最大化,帕累托优化配置理论在此运用的目的是如何合理配置有限的运力资源,使在北极东北航线上运营的集装箱班轮的经济效益达到最大。在此基础上,提出了帕累托最优配置理论在北极东北航线集装箱班轮航次密度研究中的技术线路。从航线运营成本和货物库存成本两个方面对北极东北航线集装箱班轮运输中涉及的成本进行了归纳分析,并分别构建了航线运营成本模型和货物库存成本模型。以总成本最小化为目标,最终建立了帕累托优化配置模型。与以往研究的传统航线相比,北极东北航线在航行环境、费用管理、适航船型等方面均有其特殊性。综合考虑这些特征因素,对北极东北航线上运营的集装箱班轮的航次密度进行了探讨。得出的主要结论有：随着船型规模的增大,北极东北航线集装箱班轮的航线运营成本和货物库存成本对应增加；航次密度越大,航线运营总成本越高,货物库存总成本越低；随着船型规模的增加,帕累托前沿线均衡点与中心顶点之间的距离也越来越大；对于同一种规模的船型,随着燃油价格的上涨,最优航次密度有所下降,较小的航次密度减少了周期内航线运营的总成本；无论燃油价格处于哪种水平,北极东北航线集装箱班轮最优航次密度都在船型规模为2400TEU时达到最小,而在船型规模为6600TEU时达到最大；当船型规模为2400TEU时,北极东北航线集装箱班轮船舶的单位航线运营成本最低,当船型规模为6600TEU时,单位航线运营成本最高。
[Abstract]:This paper introduces the natural environment and navigation status of the Arctic northeast route, and combines the observation results of the US Snow and Ice data Research Center and the research carried out by the Arctic Council to make the "Arctic sea ice area to be reduced at an accelerated rate." Arctic routes will be fully operational and commercially operated, "he said. The Pareto optimal theory is expounded in detail. It is pointed out that the conditions and standards of Pareto optimal allocation are exchange equilibrium, production equilibrium and social utility maximization. The purpose of the application of Pareto's optimal allocation theory is how to allocate the limited transportation resources reasonably so as to maximize the economic benefit of the container liner operating on the Arctic northeast route. On this basis, the technical circuit of Pareto optimal allocation theory in the study of the density of container liner in the northeast Arctic route is proposed. This paper sums up and analyzes the cost involved in container liner transportation in the northeast Arctic shipping line from two aspects: route operating cost and cargo inventory cost, and constructs the airline operating cost model and cargo inventory cost model respectively. With the goal of minimizing total cost, a Pareto optimal configuration model is established. Compared with the traditional routes studied in the past, the Arctic Northeast route has its particularity in navigation environment, cost management, airworthiness ship type and so on. Taking these characteristics into account, the density of container liner on the North East Arctic route is discussed. The main conclusions are as follows: with the increase of ship size, the shipping line operating cost and cargo inventory cost of the North East Arctic shipping line increase correspondingly, and the higher the flight density, the higher the total operating cost of the route, and the lower the total cost of cargo inventory; As the size of the ship type increases, the distance between the equilibrium point and the center vertex along the front of Pareto becomes larger and larger. For a ship of the same size, the optimal flight density decreases with the increase of fuel price. The lower flight density reduces the total cost of shipping operation in the cycle; regardless of the level of fuel price, the optimal density of container liner on the North East Arctic route reaches the minimum when the ship's size is 2400TEU. When the size of the vessel is 6600TEU, the cost of the unit route is the lowest, when the scale of the ship is 2400TEU, the cost of the unit route is the highest when the scale of the ship is 6600TEU.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：U692.3;U695.2

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