面向北极航线的东北亚区域原油港口竞争力研究

发布时间：2018-05-19 12:55

本文选题：北极航线 + 东北亚　；参考：《大连海事大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着全球气候的变暖,北极冰川开始融化,北极地区通航时间延长。加之航海技术的发展以及科技的进步,北极航线应运而生,成为各国及地区关注的焦点。受北极航线的开通的影响,世界海运的格局也会逐渐发生变化,北极沿线以及延长线上的港口的竞争力势必也会受到北极航线的影响。同时,北极地区丰富的能源储备对北极地区沿线的东北亚国家有着很大的吸引力,东北亚地区有了新的能源进口渠道。东北亚的进口的北极能源需要港口来装卸,因此北极航线对东北亚地区的原油港口竞争格局有着深远影响,研究面向北极航线的东北亚区域原油港口竞争力有着重要的战略意义。本文首先确定研究范围,将东北亚原油港口限定在韩国、日本、中国原油港口,并选取其中具有代表性的蔚山港、丽水港、仁川港、大山港、横滨港、名古屋港、千叶港、青岛港、天津港、宁波港、舟山港、大连港、营口港、日照港、泉州港、惠州港十六个港口。同时,针对原油港口的特殊性质分析了原油港口竞争的主要内容以及原油港口竞争的影响因素,并对北极航线背景下的原油港口竞争作了一定的阐述。之后,根据原油港口的影响因素,建立了原油港口竞争力的评价指标体系,选择输入指标与输出指标。再确立研究港口竞争力的方法选用数据包络分析法,根据原油港口输入输出指标多的特征,利用因子分析法选取公共因子,并选取CCR模型以及超效率模型对港口竞争力进行分析。最后,本文对选取的十六个港口的竞争力进行计算,分别分析了北极航线开通前与北极航线开通后对港口效率的影响,得到在北极航线开通的情景下,中国舟山港、天津港、日照港、泉州港、营口港港口效率有所上升,其中舟山港港口效率保持第一,宁波港、大连港、青岛港港口效率变化不大,惠州港有所下降;韩国港口竞争力变化如下:蔚山港港口效率下降,大山港、仁川港有所上升,丽水港变化不大。日本港港口效率都有所上升。总体来看北极航线开通中日韩主要的原油港口效率都有所上升,日本原油港口收益最大。东北亚原油港口竞争均衡化,激烈化。
[Abstract]:As the global climate warms, Arctic glaciers begin to melt, extending navigation time in the Arctic. In addition, with the development of navigation technology and the progress of science and technology, Arctic route emerges as the times require, and becomes the focus of attention of all countries and regions. Under the influence of the opening of the Arctic route, the pattern of world shipping will change gradually, and the competitiveness of the ports along the arctic route and the extended line will inevitably be affected by the Arctic route. At the same time, the rich energy reserves in the Arctic region have great attraction to the Northeast Asian countries along the Arctic region, and Northeast Asia has a new energy import channel. Imports of Arctic energy from Northeast Asia need ports to load and unload, so Arctic routes have a profound impact on the competitive pattern of crude oil ports in Northeast Asia. It is of great strategic significance to study the competitiveness of Northeast Asian crude oil ports facing Arctic routes. This paper first determines the scope of the study, limits the crude oil ports of Northeast Asia to Korea, Japan and China, and selects the representative ports of Ulsan, Lishui, Incheon, Dashan, Yokohama, Nagoya, Chiba, etc. Qingdao Port, Tianjin Port, Ningbo Port, Zhoushan Port, Dalian Port, Yingkou Port, Rizhao Port, Quanzhou Port, Huizhou Port 16 ports. At the same time, the main contents of the crude oil port competition and the influencing factors of the crude oil port competition are analyzed according to the special characteristics of the crude oil port, and the crude oil port competition under the background of the Arctic route is expounded to a certain extent. Then, according to the influencing factors of crude oil port, the evaluation index system of crude oil port competitiveness is established, and the input index and output index are selected. Then establish the method of studying port competitiveness choose data envelopment analysis, according to the characteristics of the crude oil port input and output indicators, use factor analysis method to select common factors, And select the CCR model and super-efficiency model to analyze the competitiveness of the port. Finally, this paper calculates the competitiveness of the 16 selected ports, analyzes the effects on port efficiency before and after the opening of the Arctic route, and obtains the scenarios of the opening of the Arctic route, Zhoushan Port of China, Tianjin Port, The efficiency of Rizhao Port, Quanzhou Port and Yingkou Port has increased, among which the efficiency of Zhoushan Port has kept first, the port efficiency of Ningbo Port, Dalian Port and Qingdao Port has not changed much, but the Huizhou Port has declined. The changes of port competitiveness in Korea are as follows: the efficiency of Ulsan Port has declined, Dashan Port and Incheon Port have increased, and Lishui Port has not changed much. The efficiency of Japanese ports has improved. In general, the efficiency of major crude oil ports in China, Japan and South Korea has increased, with the largest return from Japanese crude oil ports. Northeast Asia crude oil port competition equalization, intense.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F551;F416.22

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