基于合作博弈的县乡公路BT项目收益分配研究

发布时间：2018-05-27 15:25

本文选题：合作博弈 + 县乡公路　；参考：《兰州交通大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：县乡公路是我国公路系统的主要构成部分之一,同时也是农村公路的重要组成部分,它的建设对于城乡经济的发展起着至关重要的作用。虽然我国已经投入大量的资金对县乡公路进行建设,但是地方政府投入的资金毕竟有限,所以就引入了BT模式来完成县乡公路的建设,这种模式通过融资的方法获得充足的建设资金,进而减轻了政府的财政压力。本文中县乡公路建设的最大问题就是资金的严重不足,通过BT模式来完成建设,在解决资金问题的同时也产生了BT项目参与方之间收益分配的问题,每个合作参与方都有自己的行动策略,都想从联盟中获得最大的收益,所以在多种多样分配方案的情况下,就需要制定一个科学公正的方案。最后文章就用合作博弈中的Shapley值法和Nash谈判法两个模型对项目参与方的收益进行具体的分配。文章在分析了县乡公路BT项目的基本概述和特征后,研究了利益相关者的理论和具体的分类,为了能够公平合理的完成项目参与方的收益分配,就需要对收益分配的特点、原则和影响因素进行深入的研究。然后通过研究合作博弈的几种解法,再以一个简单的算例分析得到不同合作博弈解法下的计算结果,分析数据后最终选择了Shapley值法和Nash谈判法。论文研究的重点是第四、五章,在满足相关公理的条件下,建立了Shapley值法和Nash谈判法的收益分配模型,然后对模型进行分析求解。因模型中的系数简单,所以这样的收益分配方案并不能做到公平公正,因此论文第五章引入了投入资金比例、风险影响因素、贡献度因素和合作执行度因素对模型进行修正,这样计算得出的结果更加的合理科学。论文最后以郑州和开封两市间的县乡公路为例,在分析获得相关数据后,对文中的两个合作博弈模型进行了验证,最后得出模型的正确性和BT模式在建设中的可行性。合作博弈的Shapley值法和Nash谈判法来研究收益分配已得到广泛的运用,但是在BT建设模式中的应用是一种新的尝试,本文通过BT这种模式来完成县乡公路的建设也是一种新的方法,在减轻政府资金压力的同时,还为以后县乡公路这种公共基础设施的建设提供了新的思路和方法。
[Abstract]:The county and township road is one of the main components of the highway system in China, and it is also an important part of the rural highway. Its construction plays a vital role in the development of the urban and rural economy. Although a large amount of funds have been invested in the construction of the county and township roads in China, the funds invested by the local government are limited. In the BT model to complete the construction of county and township roads, this model obtains sufficient capital for construction through the financing method, and thus alleviates the financial pressure of the government. In this paper, the biggest problem of the county and township highway construction is the serious shortage of funds, through the BT model to complete the construction, while solving the problem of funds, it also produces the participation of the BT project. Each participant has its own action strategy and wants to get the maximum benefit from the alliance, so in the case of a variety of allocation schemes, we need to make a scientific and fair scheme. Finally, the article uses two models of the Shapley value method and the Nash negotiation method in the cooperative game to participate in the project. After the analysis of the basic overview and characteristics of the county and township highway BT project, the paper studies the theory and specific classification of the stakeholders. In order to achieve a fair and reasonable completion of the income distribution of the project participants, it is necessary to make a thorough study of the special points, principles and factors of the income distribution. After studying several solutions of cooperative game, the calculation results of different cooperative game solutions are obtained by a simple example. After analyzing the data, the Shapley value method and the Nash negotiation method are selected. The focus of the thesis is fourth, fifth chapters. Under the conditions of relevant axiom, the Shapley value method and the Nash negotiation method are established. The income distribution model is analyzed and solved. Because the coefficient in the model is simple, so the income distribution scheme can not be fair and fair, so the fifth chapter of the paper introduces the proportion of investment funds, risk factors, contribution factors and cooperative execution factors to modify the model, so that the results obtained are calculated. More reasonable science. Finally, the paper takes the county and township roads in Zhengzhou and Kaifeng two cities as an example. After analyzing the relevant data, two cooperative game models are verified. Finally, the correctness of the model and the feasibility of the BT model in the construction are obtained. The Shapley value method of cooperative game and the Nash negotiation method are used to study the income distribution. It has been widely used, but the application of the BT construction model is a new attempt. This paper is a new way to complete the construction of county and township roads through the mode of BT. It also provides new ideas and methods for the construction of the public foundation of the county and township roads in the future, while reducing the pressure of the government funds.
【学位授予单位】：兰州交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F542.8;F283

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