民间资本介入城市公交的能耗和排放效果分析
发布时间：2018-07-18 08:22
【摘要】：为定量分析民间资本介入城市公交的能耗和排放效果,用系统动力学(System Dynamics,SD)方法,构建民间资本(简称"民资")介入公交的SD仿真模型,从环境角度分析考虑乘客价值的民资介入公交模式对环境影响的累积效果。通过济南公交运营数据验证SD模型的有效性,并以济南公交一个车队100辆公交车为例进行环境影响效果仿真。结果表明:民资介入公交有助于节能减排,考虑乘客价值的民资介入公交模式比传统的民资介入模式有更好的节能减排效果。其中,考虑乘客价值的民资介入公交模式比民资未介入公交,100个月累积减少燃油消耗398千升,减少CO2排放109吨,减少CO排放542千克,减少SO2排放1.6千克,减少PM10排放77.3千克。从环境角度验证考虑乘客价值的民资介入公交模式的优越性,为管理者从环境角度系统评价民资介入公交的效果提供理论支持。
[Abstract]:In order to quantitatively analyze the energy consumption and emission effect of private capital involved in urban public transport, the SD simulation model of private capital ("civilian capital") involved in public transport is constructed by system dynamics (SD) method. This paper analyzes the cumulative effect of the civilian-funded public transport model considering the value of passengers on the environmental impact from the environmental point of view. The validity of SD model is verified by Jinan bus operation data, and the environmental impact effect of 100 buses in Jinan bus fleet is simulated. The results show that the intervention of civilian capital is helpful to energy saving and emission reduction, and the model of civil capital intervention with the consideration of passenger value has better effect of energy saving and emission reduction than the traditional mode of private capital intervention. Considering the value of passengers, the model of civilian involved public transport with the consideration of passenger value can reduce fuel consumption by 398 kiloliter, reduce CO2 emission by 109 tons, reduce CO emission by 542 kg, reduce SO2 emission by 1.6 kg and PM10 emission by 77.3 kg over 100 months. From the environmental point of view, this paper verifies the superiority of the civilian capital intervention mode considering the passenger value, and provides theoretical support for the managers to evaluate the effect of the civilian capital intervention from the environmental point of view.
【作者单位】： 华东交通大学交通运输与物流学院;北京工业大学建筑工程学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金重点项目资助(51338008);国家自然科学基金面上项目资助(51378036) 青海西宁智慧交通关键技术集成与示范项目资助(2015-SF-A5)
【分类号】：U12;X73
，
本文编号：2131315
[Abstract]:In order to quantitatively analyze the energy consumption and emission effect of private capital involved in urban public transport, the SD simulation model of private capital ("civilian capital") involved in public transport is constructed by system dynamics (SD) method. This paper analyzes the cumulative effect of the civilian-funded public transport model considering the value of passengers on the environmental impact from the environmental point of view. The validity of SD model is verified by Jinan bus operation data, and the environmental impact effect of 100 buses in Jinan bus fleet is simulated. The results show that the intervention of civilian capital is helpful to energy saving and emission reduction, and the model of civil capital intervention with the consideration of passenger value has better effect of energy saving and emission reduction than the traditional mode of private capital intervention. Considering the value of passengers, the model of civilian involved public transport with the consideration of passenger value can reduce fuel consumption by 398 kiloliter, reduce CO2 emission by 109 tons, reduce CO emission by 542 kg, reduce SO2 emission by 1.6 kg and PM10 emission by 77.3 kg over 100 months. From the environmental point of view, this paper verifies the superiority of the civilian capital intervention mode considering the passenger value, and provides theoretical support for the managers to evaluate the effect of the civilian capital intervention from the environmental point of view.
【作者单位】： 华东交通大学交通运输与物流学院;北京工业大学建筑工程学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金重点项目资助(51338008);国家自然科学基金面上项目资助(51378036) 青海西宁智慧交通关键技术集成与示范项目资助(2015-SF-A5)
【分类号】：U12;X73
，
本文编号：2131315
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