泸渝高速公路建设项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2019-01-25 19:01

【摘要】：高速公路项目的建设环境复杂,周期长,技术水平要求高,建设项目的内部和外部因素在这个过程中被长期因素和随机因素影响而频繁波动,同时这些因素的不确定性使整个周期中的管理问题复杂化,这提高了存在于完整建设周期中的风险管理的要求,因此为了保障项目能够高效平稳地实施,风险管理越来越重要。本文选择高速公路建设项目的风险管理为研究对象,重点研究了高速公路建设项目建设(设计、施工)阶段风险因素如何形成、如何评价各类不确定性风险、如何防范风险和响应这三个方面的问题。在研究风险因素在高速公路建设项目里如何形成的过程中,针对高速公路建设项目的特点本文总结并详细分析了高速公路建设项目所涉及的工期、费用、质量、技术、合同与法律这五方面影响因素。在探讨如何评价高速公路建设项目风险的过程中,为了建立能够评价项目风险指标的体系本文分析研究了各种工程项目的风险评价方法,在此基础上得到了适用于高速公路建设项目风险评价的多层次模糊综合评价模型。在归纳如何防范高速公路建设项目的风险的过程中,针对费用管理、工期管理、质量管理、合同管理、施工管理、风险监控本文就风险防范措施进行总结。论文的最后一章运用模糊综合评价方法对泸渝高速公路建设项目实例,进行工程线路方案比选,并归纳了风险应对中存在的问题和改善措施。本文选取高速公路建设中的风险管理为研究对象,提出了满足大型工程建设需要的模糊风险综合评价法并应用到泸渝高速建设项目线路方案的综合优选中。本文将工程项目管理理论应用到工程的实例中,目的是将现今高速公路建设项目中存在的风险进行有效地理论和实证研究并提出优化方案,希望对今后的高速公路建设起到应用引导效果,进一步加快我国交通建设行业的发展速度。
[Abstract]:The construction environment of the expressway project is complex, the period is long, the technical level is high, the internal and external factors of the construction project are frequently fluctuated by the long-term factors and random factors in this process. At the same time, the uncertainty of these factors complicates the management problem in the whole cycle, which raises the requirement of risk management in the complete construction cycle. Therefore, risk management is becoming more and more important in order to ensure the project can be implemented efficiently and smoothly. This paper chooses the risk management of expressway construction project as the research object, and focuses on how to form the risk factors in the construction (design, construction) stage of the expressway construction project, how to evaluate various kinds of uncertain risks. How to prevent risk and respond to these three aspects of the problem. In the course of studying how to form risk factors in expressway construction project, this paper summarizes and analyzes the duration, cost, quality, technology of expressway construction project according to the characteristics of expressway construction project. Contract and law are the five influencing factors. In the course of discussing how to evaluate the risk of expressway construction project, in order to set up the system of evaluating the risk index of the project, this paper analyzes and studies the risk evaluation methods of various engineering projects. On this basis, a multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model suitable for highway construction project risk evaluation is obtained. In the process of how to prevent the risk of highway construction project, this paper summarizes the risk prevention measures for cost management, time limit management, quality management, contract management, construction management and risk monitoring. In the last chapter of the paper, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to compare and select the project scheme of the Lu-Yu expressway construction project, and the problems existing in the risk management and the improvement measures are summarized. In this paper, the risk management in expressway construction is selected as the research object, and the fuzzy risk comprehensive evaluation method is put forward to meet the needs of large-scale engineering construction and applied to the comprehensive optimization of the line scheme of Luyu high speed construction project. In this paper, the theory of engineering project management is applied to the engineering example. The purpose of this paper is to carry out effective theoretical and empirical research on the risks existing in the present expressway construction project and to put forward the optimization scheme. It is hoped that the application and guidance effect of highway construction in the future will accelerate the development of traffic construction industry in China.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：U415.1

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