基于国民经济评价的取消二级公路收费合理性研究

发布时间：2019-04-02 04:46

【摘要】：二级公路收费政策实施的20年来,我国公路里程不断增加,国民经济获得了快速增长。但是,时至今日,二级公路收费在发展中暴露出了一系列的问题,如:站点收支入不敷出、收费影响公路周边土地开发等。因此,国家决心从2009年起到2016年底逐步取消二级公路收费。本文便是针对国家的这一决策,以青海省二级公路取消收费为例,论证在西部欠发达地区二级公路取消收费这一政策实施的合理性。首先,论文对国民经济的理论进行了概述,阐述了国民经济评价的定义、适用范围、特点、作用以及与财务评价的异同,为本文进行国民经济评价的原因做了理论上的解释。其次,建立并运用了交通量预测模型。本文在大量数据的基础上,运用MATLAB数据模拟以及效用函数法与指数分配模型验证方法,建立了交通量预测模型,并将交通量预测模型应用到青海省二级公路取消收费合理性的实证研究中,较为科学、准确的预测出了青海省二级公路取消收费后的交通转移量。最后,运用国民经济的评价中定量与定性相结合的方法,计算出了取消二级公路收费,国民经济的增加值,从而验证了取消二级公路收费的合理性。本文建立了国民经济评价因素定量化模型,并将国民经济评价因素定量化模型应用到青海省二级公路取消收费合理性的实证研究中,计算出了取消二级公路收费后,国民经济效益的增加值。同时,定性论述了二级公路取消收费后对国民经济的直接影响与二级公路取消收费后对国民经济的潜在拉动作用。
[Abstract]:In the past 20 years, the highway mileage of our country has been increasing and the national economy has gained rapid growth. However, nowadays, a series of problems have been exposed in the development of secondary highway toll, such as: the income and expenditure of the station exceeds the income and expenditure, the toll affects the development of the land around the highway, and so on. As a result, the country is determined to phase out secondary road tolls from 2009 until the end of 2016. In view of this decision of the country, this paper takes Qinghai Province as an example to demonstrate the rationality of the implementation of the policy of abolishing the second-level highway toll in the less developed areas of the western part of the country. Firstly, the paper summarizes the theory of national economy, expounds the definition, scope of application, characteristics, functions and similarities and differences between national economic evaluation and financial evaluation, and makes a theoretical explanation for the reason of the national economic evaluation in this paper. Secondly, the traffic volume forecasting model is established and applied. On the basis of a large number of data, this paper establishes a traffic volume forecasting model by using MATLAB data simulation, utility function method and exponential distribution model verification method. The traffic volume forecasting model is applied to the empirical study on the rationality of the second-level highway toll cancellation in Qinghai Province. The traffic transfer volume after the cancellation of the second-level highway toll in Qinghai Province is predicted scientifically and accurately. Finally, by combining quantitative and qualitative methods in the evaluation of national economy, the added value of abolishing secondary highway toll and national economy is calculated, and the rationality of abolishing secondary highway toll is verified. In this paper, the quantitative model of national economic evaluation factors is established, and the quantitative model of national economic evaluation factors is applied to the empirical research on the rationality of secondary highway toll cancellation in Qinghai Province, and the calculation is made after the cancellation of secondary highway tolling. The added value of national economic benefits. At the same time, the direct influence of secondary highway toll cancellation on national economy and the potential pulling effect of secondary highway toll cancellation on national economy are discussed qualitatively.
【学位授予单位】：重庆交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F542.5

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