城市公交旅客等待时间分析模型研究
发布时间：2021-04-26 10:20
本论文主要对城市道路公共交通乘客等待时间进行相关性分析,提出了对于不知道车辆确切到达时间的乘客因等待所消耗时间的计算方法。该分析是评估城市交通网络运营效率的理论基础,据此可提出缩短乘客上下班等候时间的对应措施。本论文主要研究城市公共交通在各种组织车辆运行技术下的乘客等待时间。需要解决以下问题:——对公交车站乘客等待时间的现状进行分析;——对现有组织车辆运行的技术进行规范;——根据理论知识确定乘客在单独路线和整个城市路线网络上等待路线车辆的时间;——制定方法,进行调查,并根据已知的车辆运行时间表,计算出城市公交站乘客等待时间的平均值;——设计仿真模型并进行实验研究,以确定不同车辆运行组织技术下的城市公交车站的乘客等待时间;——在城市客运向为乘客提供高水平的交通时刻表的过渡期间,计算乘客等待时间可能发生的变化。本论文采用了概率论和仿真模型来计算公交车站乘客等待时间。在建立仿真模型的过程中,采用了归纳法、回归分析法、概率论方法和数理统计方法;并采用实证调查的方法,确定了城市公交线路的参数,研究了公交车站乘客的实际等待时间。将300名乘客早高峰期间的等待时间进行结果验证,在实验中客运服务方式的...
【文章来源】：兰州交通大学甘肃省
【文章页数】：91 页
【学位级别】：硕士
【文章目录】：
摘要
Abstract
1 Introduction
1.1 Actuality of the theme
1.2 The purpose and objectives of the study
1.3 Research methods
2 The current state of the issue of studying the waiting time by passengers of public transport
2.1 Analysis of methods for reducing the time spent by passengers to move
2.1.1 Analysis of research methods of Ukrainian authors
2.1.2 Analysis of research methods of foreign authors
2.2 Existing approaches to the calculation of waiting times by passengers of route vehicles at city stops
2.2.1 Review of existing approaches to calculating passenger waiting times for vehicles
2.2.2 Prerequisites for further research
2.3 Goal setting and research objectives
2.4 Conclusions to the second section
3 Theoretical basics of modeling the passengers’waiting time of public transport
3.1 Choice of options and their justification for passenger service by public passenger transport
3.1.1 The level of information support for public transport passengers
3.1.2 Scheduled organization of urban public transport
3.1.3 Classification of methods of passenger service provided by urban passenger transport
3.2 Analytical simulation of passengers’waiting time for selected urban transport options
3.2.1 Traffic at regular intervals without deviations from the schedule
3.2.2 The vehicles arrive at a stop with deviation from the schedule
3.2.3 Irregular interval of traffic on a pre-determined schedule
3.2.4 Departure of vehicles with restriction on seats filling
3.2.5 Departure of vehicles with restriction on seats filling and idle time
3.2.6 Accidental departure from the starting point of the vehicle
3.3 Theoretical bases for determining the average passengers’waiting time for vehicles in the city's route system
3.4 Modeling the process of interaction between passengers and vehicles at public transport stops
3.4.1 Simulation the arrival time of passengers at the stopping point
3.4.2 Simulation the arrival of vehicles at the stopping point
3.4.3 Test the adequacy of simulation modeling
3.5 Conclusions to the third section
4 Experimental verification of the analytical model for calculation the passengers’waiting time of public transport
4.1 Creating a plan for the experiment
4.2 Examination of the actual passengers’waiting time for route vehicles at the city bus stops
4.3 Application of the analytical model for calculating the passengers’waiting time of public transport on the example of the Kharkiv city
4.4 Conclusions to the fourth section
5 Conclusion and Outlook
References
Research achievement during working for the master degree
Acknowledgement
本文编号：3161246
【文章来源】：兰州交通大学甘肃省
【文章页数】：91 页
【学位级别】：硕士
【文章目录】：
摘要
Abstract
1 Introduction
1.1 Actuality of the theme
1.2 The purpose and objectives of the study
1.3 Research methods
2 The current state of the issue of studying the waiting time by passengers of public transport
2.1 Analysis of methods for reducing the time spent by passengers to move
2.1.1 Analysis of research methods of Ukrainian authors
2.1.2 Analysis of research methods of foreign authors
2.2 Existing approaches to the calculation of waiting times by passengers of route vehicles at city stops
2.2.1 Review of existing approaches to calculating passenger waiting times for vehicles
2.2.2 Prerequisites for further research
2.3 Goal setting and research objectives
2.4 Conclusions to the second section
3 Theoretical basics of modeling the passengers’waiting time of public transport
3.1 Choice of options and their justification for passenger service by public passenger transport
3.1.1 The level of information support for public transport passengers
3.1.2 Scheduled organization of urban public transport
3.1.3 Classification of methods of passenger service provided by urban passenger transport
3.2 Analytical simulation of passengers’waiting time for selected urban transport options
3.2.1 Traffic at regular intervals without deviations from the schedule
3.2.2 The vehicles arrive at a stop with deviation from the schedule
3.2.3 Irregular interval of traffic on a pre-determined schedule
3.2.4 Departure of vehicles with restriction on seats filling
3.2.5 Departure of vehicles with restriction on seats filling and idle time
3.2.6 Accidental departure from the starting point of the vehicle
3.3 Theoretical bases for determining the average passengers’waiting time for vehicles in the city's route system
3.4 Modeling the process of interaction between passengers and vehicles at public transport stops
3.4.1 Simulation the arrival time of passengers at the stopping point
3.4.2 Simulation the arrival of vehicles at the stopping point
3.4.3 Test the adequacy of simulation modeling
3.5 Conclusions to the third section
4 Experimental verification of the analytical model for calculation the passengers’waiting time of public transport
4.1 Creating a plan for the experiment
4.2 Examination of the actual passengers’waiting time for route vehicles at the city bus stops
4.3 Application of the analytical model for calculating the passengers’waiting time of public transport on the example of the Kharkiv city
4.4 Conclusions to the fourth section
5 Conclusion and Outlook
References
Research achievement during working for the master degree
Acknowledgement
本文编号：3161246
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