Exploring Light Rail Transit in Lusaka City to Curb Congesti
发布时间：2021-08-30 17:31
卢萨卡的公共交通问题可以追溯到决定城市形成方式的殖民时代。这个问题一直存在的原因在于该国尚未退出旨在服务欧洲小型定居者社区的殖民地规划模式。后殖民运输的管理置若罔闻,也没有强调大众运输方式的重要性/好处。自独立以来,赞比亚经历了政治和经济上的变化,但交通运输体系并未发生重大转变。政治上的变化带来了道路运输的自由化,汽车数量的增加与道路基础设施的有限增长产生了矛盾。卢萨卡是非洲城市化程度最高的城市之一,有超过两百二十万人口。这种城市化给城市服务带来了压力,包括交通基础设施。本研究的重点是在卢萨卡这样拥挤的城市实施集体运输系统,特别是研究了轻轨系统LRT的适用性。传统的四步模型被用在GIS扩展软件“Transcad”中,用以确定未来城市中的旅行模式和交通需求。运输需求模型是在R中使用多元回归分析开发的。该研究清楚地表明,旅行集中在商务和工作中心,其中大多数（旅行）是以家庭为基础的（他们的起源地和/或目的地为家中）。这也清楚地表明,卢萨卡市在高峰时段的交通流量远大于大部分公路的通行能力,因为2030年预测的沿Kafue公路前往Kafue的最大交通流量为28774 PPHPD。而该交通量适用于...
【文章来源】：东南大学江苏省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直属院校
【文章页数】：140 页
【学位级别】：硕士
【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
List of Acronyms
ABSTRACT
摘要
1 : INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background
1.2 Problem statement
1.3 General objective
1.3.1 Specific objectives
1.4 Research questions
1.5 Organization of the study
1.6 Study area
1.6.1 Geographical setting
1.6.2 Demography
1.6.3 Transportation system
1.6.4 Trip Characteristics
1.6.5 Road Traffic
1.6.6 Bus Type
1.6.7 Railway
1.7 Chapter Summary
2 LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Overview
2.2 The influence of rail transit on city development
2.3 Light rail as an alternative for automobile
2.4 Ridership
2.5 Urban density and LRT
2.6 Review of Available Model Approach
2.7 Direct Approach model
2.8 Definition and the role of light rail
2.9 Why Light Rail Transit
2.10 Technology option
2.11 Chapter Summary
3 : METHODOLOGY
3.1 : Overview
3.2 Data source
3.3 Identification of traffic analysis zone
3.4 Theory on FSM
3.4.1 Overview
3.4.2 Trip generation analysis
3.4.3 Trip Production Analysis
3.4.4 Trip attraction Analysis
3.4.5 Trip Distribution
3.4.6 Modal Split
3.4.7 Traffic Assignment
3.5 Demand Forecasting and model process
3.6 Evaluation of alternatives
3.7 Chapter Summary
4 DATA PROCESSING, ANALYSIS AND DISCUSION
4.1 Regression analysis approach
4.2 Formulation of regression equations
4.3 Model Development
4.4 Major key areas for works and business
4.5 Model validation
4.6 Data base management in Transcad
4.7 Trip Generation
4.8 Trip balancing results
4.9 Trip distribution results
4.10 Modal Split
4.11 Traffic Assignment
4.12 Route selection
4.13 Chapter Summary
5 ECONOMIC ANALISIS (EVALUATION)
5.1 Overview
5.2 Definition of alternatives
5.2.1 Option 1: Do nothing case
5.2.2 Option 2: With the project case
5.3 System operation plan (rolling stock plan)
5.3.1 Target passenger demand
5.3.2 Train Operation Plan at Peak Hour
5.3.3 Calculation of Required Number of Train-sets/Vehicles
5.4 Economic internal rate of return (EIRR)
5.4.1 Method and Assumptions
5.4.2 Hypothesis
5.4.3 Economic Benefits
5.4.4 Cost Estimation principles
5.4.5 Conditions of Cost Estimation
5.4.6 Replacement time
5.5 Cost Calculation
5.5.1 Construction Costs
5.5.2 Operation and maintenance cost
5.5.3 Labour Cost
5.5.4 Other expenses
5.6 Benefit Calculation
5.6.1 Transportation Users Benefit
5.6.2 Travelling Time savings
5.6.3 Automobile operating costs (VOC)
5.6.4 Land Use and Urban Development
5.6.5 Economic Development
5.6.6 Accident Cost savings
5.6.7 Emissions
5.6.8 Revenue
5.6.9 Calculation of EIRR
5.7 Risk Assessment
5.7.1 Sensitivity analysis
5.8 Chapter Summary
6 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
6.1 Conclusion
6.2 Recommendations
7 REFERENCES
8 APPENDICES
本文编号：3373210
【文章来源】：东南大学江苏省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直属院校
【文章页数】：140 页
【学位级别】：硕士
【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
List of Acronyms
ABSTRACT
摘要
1 : INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background
1.2 Problem statement
1.3 General objective
1.3.1 Specific objectives
1.4 Research questions
1.5 Organization of the study
1.6 Study area
1.6.1 Geographical setting
1.6.2 Demography
1.6.3 Transportation system
1.6.4 Trip Characteristics
1.6.5 Road Traffic
1.6.6 Bus Type
1.6.7 Railway
1.7 Chapter Summary
2 LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Overview
2.2 The influence of rail transit on city development
2.3 Light rail as an alternative for automobile
2.4 Ridership
2.5 Urban density and LRT
2.6 Review of Available Model Approach
2.7 Direct Approach model
2.8 Definition and the role of light rail
2.9 Why Light Rail Transit
2.10 Technology option
2.11 Chapter Summary
3 : METHODOLOGY
3.1 : Overview
3.2 Data source
3.3 Identification of traffic analysis zone
3.4 Theory on FSM
3.4.1 Overview
3.4.2 Trip generation analysis
3.4.3 Trip Production Analysis
3.4.4 Trip attraction Analysis
3.4.5 Trip Distribution
3.4.6 Modal Split
3.4.7 Traffic Assignment
3.5 Demand Forecasting and model process
3.6 Evaluation of alternatives
3.7 Chapter Summary
4 DATA PROCESSING, ANALYSIS AND DISCUSION
4.1 Regression analysis approach
4.2 Formulation of regression equations
4.3 Model Development
4.4 Major key areas for works and business
4.5 Model validation
4.6 Data base management in Transcad
4.7 Trip Generation
4.8 Trip balancing results
4.9 Trip distribution results
4.10 Modal Split
4.11 Traffic Assignment
4.12 Route selection
4.13 Chapter Summary
5 ECONOMIC ANALISIS (EVALUATION)
5.1 Overview
5.2 Definition of alternatives
5.2.1 Option 1: Do nothing case
5.2.2 Option 2: With the project case
5.3 System operation plan (rolling stock plan)
5.3.1 Target passenger demand
5.3.2 Train Operation Plan at Peak Hour
5.3.3 Calculation of Required Number of Train-sets/Vehicles
5.4 Economic internal rate of return (EIRR)
5.4.1 Method and Assumptions
5.4.2 Hypothesis
5.4.3 Economic Benefits
5.4.4 Cost Estimation principles
5.4.5 Conditions of Cost Estimation
5.4.6 Replacement time
5.5 Cost Calculation
5.5.1 Construction Costs
5.5.2 Operation and maintenance cost
5.5.3 Labour Cost
5.5.4 Other expenses
5.6 Benefit Calculation
5.6.1 Transportation Users Benefit
5.6.2 Travelling Time savings
5.6.3 Automobile operating costs (VOC)
5.6.4 Land Use and Urban Development
5.6.5 Economic Development
5.6.6 Accident Cost savings
5.6.7 Emissions
5.6.8 Revenue
5.6.9 Calculation of EIRR
5.7 Risk Assessment
5.7.1 Sensitivity analysis
5.8 Chapter Summary
6 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
6.1 Conclusion
6.2 Recommendations
7 REFERENCES
8 APPENDICES
本文编号：3373210
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