民航航空器不安全事件检测及统计分析

发布时间：2018-05-31 14:46

本文选题：空中交通管理 + 不安全事件　；参考：《大连理工大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着中国经济飞速发展,我国空域中单位时间航空器保有量呈井喷式增长,造成了“空中大堵车”情况频繁发生,越来越多的“航空管制原因的延误”致使空中交通管制系统遭受了前所未有的压力,给我国的空域管理部门和空中交通管制单位迎来了前所未有的挑战。而有限的现存空域资源和滞后的空中交通管理手段与技术使空中交通的延误情况加剧、安全事故频发。通过研究表明,流量相关的空中交通安全实质上与民航运营的经济性之间是存在此消彼长的关系的。在相同空域结构的制约下,空中航空器间距越大越不会发生碰撞风险,理论上越安全,与此同时空中航空器间距越小单位时间经济效益越高,如何找到安全与经济性的平衡点是一个课题。本文从空中交通安全角度出发,通过对民航不安全事件的检测统计方法的研究和实现最终得出安全报告,目的是得出兼顾民航航空流量经济性的同时确保空中交通安全的最优化解决方案。本文从以下几个部分分别论述：(1)针对空中交通连续的航空器航行过程和不同航路的具体配置特点,对航空器进行建模,确立坐标系,之后生成运动方程,并根据航空器不安全事件发生的范围间隔选取航空器的碰撞模型。(2)从水平和垂直方向对航空器危险接近及相撞的不安全事件算法进行研究,并采用合理的算法实现对空管系统中不安全事件的检测,针对大连空域小、航路复杂的特点做出了调整。(3)在对相应的算法进行仿真之后记录统计不安全事件发生时的航空器航行数据,同时记录并统计航线流量、管制员通话总量及不安全事件发生时其他的仿真数据等结果,并通过冲突严重性的评价模型规划更优化的空管系统冲突预测规则,最后分析得出安全报告,以便得出更优化的空域使用管理方案。本文对所给出的航空器不安全事件检测和统计分析的算法进行了仿真实验。本文的研究成果通过既定的仿真实验得到了验证,在实际生产过程中也得到了验证,达到了对航空器危险情况的提示和检测统计的预期效果,对航空安全工作的保障有着现实意义。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's economy, the number of aircraft held per unit time in China's airspace has increased as a result of a blowout, resulting in frequent "air jams". More and more "the delay of air traffic control" causes the air traffic control system to suffer unprecedented pressure, and brings unprecedented challenge to our country's airspace management department and air traffic control unit. Limited existing airspace resources and lagging air traffic management methods and technologies make air traffic delays worsen and safety accidents occur frequently. The research shows that there is a relationship between traffic safety and the economy of civil aviation operation. Under the restriction of the same airspace structure, the larger the space between the aerial aircraft, the less the collision risk, and the safer the theory is, at the same time, the smaller the space between the aerial aircraft is, the higher the economic benefit is per unit time. How to find the balance between safety and economy is a topic. From the point of view of air traffic safety, through the research and realization of the statistical method of detecting civil aviation unsafe incidents, this paper finally obtains the safety report. The aim of this paper is to obtain an optimal solution to ensure air traffic safety while taking account of aviation flow economy. This paper discusses respectively the following parts: (1) in view of the specific configuration characteristics of continuous air traffic aircraft navigation process and different routes, the aircraft is modeled, the coordinate system is established, and then the motion equation is generated. And according to the range interval of aircraft unsafe events, select the aircraft collision model. (2) from the horizontal and vertical direction to the aircraft dangerous approach and collision of unsafe incident algorithm. And the reasonable algorithm is used to detect the unsafe events in the air traffic control system, aiming at the small airspace in Dalian. The complex characteristics of the route are adjusted. 3) after the simulation of the corresponding algorithm, the aircraft navigation data at the time of the unsafe events are recorded and recorded, and the route flow is recorded and counted at the same time. The results such as the total number of calls and other simulation data at the time of the unsafe events, and so on, are analyzed, and the safety report is obtained through the evaluation model of the severity of the conflict and the planning of more optimized conflict prediction rules of the air traffic control system. In order to obtain a more optimized airspace use management scheme. In this paper, the algorithms of aircraft unsafe incident detection and statistical analysis are simulated. The research results of this paper have been verified by the established simulation experiments, and have also been verified in the actual production process, which has reached the expected effect of the warning to the aircraft dangerous situation and the detection statistics. The guarantee of aviation safety has practical significance.
【学位授予单位】：大连理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：V328

【参考文献】