大型机场离场运行分析与机位协同管控研究

发布时间：2018-12-12 23:20

【摘要】：大型机场场而交通拥堵已经成为制约空中交通运行的重要瓶颈,是空中交通管理而临的新挑战和大难题。研究大型机场离场交通流拥堵特征,突破跑道离场时隙资源预测和离场航班推出控制方法等关键问题,有助于提升CDM下机场运行效率,缓解了机场交通拥堵所造成的经济损失、社会矛盾和环境影响。本文以大型机场场而拥堵现象为问题驱动,以机场场而离场交通流拥堵特征分析为理论切入,以机场离场容量预测和航班协同推出控制为技术核心,系统性地研究了大型机场离场交通拥堵特征与管控问题。首先,采用元胞传输机理论,将机场场而静态网络结构进行元胞简化,建立场而交通流元胞传输模型,采用NetLogo平台仿真推演了离场交通流拥堵变化过程,分析了进场率和推出率对于交通拥堵的影响规律,引出所需解决的关键问题。然后,分别开展机场离场容量包线特征分析和预测方法、机场离场航班推出控制策略研究：分析了当前机场容量包线绘制方法和函数性质,建立基于分位数回归的机场容量包络线确定方法；在当前机场CDM机制下,构建了以协同虚拟推出队列为核心理念的离场航班协同推出控制运行框架,提出了临界离场需求界定方法,以及基于阈值和推出率的航班离场推出控制方法,并采用基于NetLogo的离场航班推出控制系统验证了不同航空公司推出策略下基于系统仿真的推出控制方法有效性。
[Abstract]:Traffic congestion in large airport has become an important bottleneck restricting the operation of air traffic, and it is a new challenge and a big problem in air traffic management. To study the characteristics of traffic congestion in large airports, to break through the key problems, such as the prediction of runway departure time slot resources and flight launch control methods, will help to improve the airport operation efficiency under CDM and alleviate the economic losses caused by airport traffic congestion. Social contradictions and environmental impacts. In this paper, the problem is driven by the phenomenon of large airport yard congestion, the analysis of traffic congestion characteristics of airport yard and departure field is taken as the theoretical approach, and the technology core is airport departure capacity prediction and flight coordinated launch control. This paper systematically studies the characteristics of traffic congestion and the problem of management and control of large airports leaving the airport. Firstly, the cellular transmission machine theory is adopted to simplify the cellular structure of the airport field and static network structure, to establish the cellular transport model of the field and traffic flow, and to simulate the traffic congestion change process of the departure traffic flow by using the NetLogo platform. The influence of approach rate and launch rate on traffic congestion is analyzed, and the key problems need to be solved are brought forward. Then, the characteristic analysis and prediction method of airport departure capacity envelope are carried out, and the strategy of airport departure flight launch control is studied: the current airport capacity envelope drawing method and function properties are analyzed. The method of determining airport capacity envelope based on quantile regression is established. Under the current airport CDM mechanism, this paper constructs a framework of flight cooperation launch control based on collaborative virtual rollout queue, and puts forward a method to define the critical departure demand. And the flight departure launch control method based on threshold and launch rate, and the effectiveness of the launch control method based on system simulation under different airline launch strategy is verified by using the flight launch control system based on NetLogo.
【学位授予单位】：南京航空航天大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：V355

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